#22 Should I TIME the Property Market | PropertyLimBrothers | Melvin Lim | NOTG | Nuggets on the GO E22

Podcast

We’re halfway through 2022, and macro and micro economic trends affecting the property industry. However, is it essential to time the market of your property with current events around the world? While current events like the war in Ukraine and US reserve tapering have reportedly affected our mortgage interest rates, does real estate in Singapore still remain as a safe haven for a “store-of-value” for locals and investors alike? Stay tuned as Melvin explains the cause and effect of the internal and external factors affecting our property market in Singapore, as well as share PLB’s latest exhaustive list of Singapore’s property movement. Featuring info about our government’s land sales (GLS) and trends, to forecast your property decision moves.

You can also see our video on this topic!

Our Author/Guests

Melvin Lim

Melvin Lim is the co-founder and CEO of PropertyLimBrothers (PLB Realty). In Melvin’s eyes, every home has its own character and is unique. As a realtor, he enjoys telling stories about homes, highlighting what makes them special to potential buyers.

Transcript

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♪ Lady Gaga – Telephone ft. Beyoncé ♪

2[Melvin Lim]
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– All right, welcome back to our next episode of Nuggets On The Go.

3[Melvin Lim]
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So today we’re going to talk

4[Melvin Lim]
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about two main topics in this episode.

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Thank you for staying in tune with us.

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If you are watching this on YouTube

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or you’re listening on the go on Spotify and Apple Podcast,

8[Melvin Lim]
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we want to thank you for your support.

9[Melvin Lim]
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Now we’re entering into Q2 of 2022.

10[Melvin Lim]
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And of course, a lot of things has happened in the world.

11[Melvin Lim]
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And right now, at the point of recording,

12[Melvin Lim]
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of course the war is ongoing in Ukraine.

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Our hearts go out to the citizens of Ukraine.

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And 2022 seems to be a year of turmoil.

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We’re off to, of course a start of the year

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with a depressed stock market,

17[Melvin Lim]
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cryptocurrency depressed as well.

18[Melvin Lim]
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And of course, in terms of the property market in Singapore,

19[Melvin Lim]
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a lot of our audiences might be thinking,

20[Melvin Lim]
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“Hey, what might be the outlook of 2022?”

21[Melvin Lim]
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So in this episode,

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the first part we’re going to answer one age-old question,

23[Melvin Lim]
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which is very usable in the current context in 2022,

24[Melvin Lim]
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which is timing the market.

25[Melvin Lim]
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And then the second part of this video,

26[Melvin Lim]
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we’re going to touch on some of the developments

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in terms of government land sales, en bloc,

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as well as an exhaustive list of new launches

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that might come out in 2022.

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And what might be the trend moving on

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in view of all these different kinds of situations.

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And of course,

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all these events only start to develop

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in the midpoint of Q1 of 2022.

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And that’s in combination to the latest cooling measures

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that came out on 16 December 2021.

37[Melvin Lim]
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So I believe a lot of you

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might be a little bit worried about the market.

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Some of you might not be

40[Melvin Lim]
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because you have already made your purchase

41[Melvin Lim]
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in the last one to two years.

42[Melvin Lim]
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So we’re going to cover that

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on the market trends in this year ahead.

44[Melvin Lim]
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Let’s go.

45[Melvin Lim]
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All right, so first part is to answer the age-old question

46[Melvin Lim]
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of should I time the market

47[Melvin Lim]
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in view of all these current events

48[Melvin Lim]
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that are happening right now in 2022?

49[Melvin Lim]
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Should I wait for the market

50[Melvin Lim]
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to have a little bit more insights and developments,

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and allowing me

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to observe what are some of the key market trends?

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Because let’s just lay out the series of events.

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Of course, last year towards the last quarter of 2021,

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the news of US Federal Reserve

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coming out with the tapering kind of sequences

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and plans for the next three to four quarters,

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worries a lot of consumers about thinking,

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“Hey, will the interest rates start to inch up

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and thereby affecting the local mortgage interest rate?”

61[Melvin Lim]
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And the key reason is because, if we look

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at whether is it SOR rates, SIBOR rate,

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and of course, the latest SORA rate,

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which will take over SIBOR by the year 2024,

65[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of its base rates

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for Singapore mortgage interest rates,

67[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of housing loans.

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Whether we are looking at these three rates,

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and by the way, right now as we’re speaking,

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SOR rates is already not in use for housing loans,

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it’s still used for commercial loans

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and other kind of corporate loans.

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However right now,

74[Melvin Lim]
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whatever package that you get in the market,

75[Melvin Lim]
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you can only get SIBOR or SORA rates.

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In the next two to three years,

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SIBOR will be gradually phased out.

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SORA will be the main point of rates going forward

79[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of mortgage interest rate for home loans.

80[Melvin Lim]
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So why is that so?

81[Melvin Lim]
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It’s because SORA is being monitored and managed by MAS

82[Melvin Lim]
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and SIBOR is from ABS,

83[Melvin Lim]
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which is the Association of Banks in Singapore.

84[Melvin Lim]
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So two different kinds of governance

85[Melvin Lim]
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and of course, two different kinds of calculation.

86[Melvin Lim]
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However,

87[Melvin Lim]
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MAS has decided that SORA rates will be more stable.

88[Melvin Lim]
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And of course,

89[Melvin Lim]
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in protection and benefit of homeowners in Singapore,

90[Melvin Lim]
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which largely a lot of home buyers

91[Melvin Lim]
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are buying properties for own stay,

92[Melvin Lim]
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they felt that SORA rates will be more stable

93[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of outlook and in terms of fluctuation.

94[Melvin Lim]
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And that allows families

95[Melvin Lim]
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to predict the amount of monthly mortgage

96[Melvin Lim]
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that they have to set aside month after month

97[Melvin Lim]
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in a more stable fashion.

98[Melvin Lim]
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So it’s a good thing for the market

99[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of moving towards SORA.

100[Melvin Lim]
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However, both SORA and SIBOR rate,

101[Melvin Lim]
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they are in very close relation

102[Melvin Lim]
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to the currency relationship of Singapore and US dollars.

103[Melvin Lim]
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And thus, definitely

104[Melvin Lim]
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when there are any changes in the US interest rate,

105[Melvin Lim]
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it will affect Singapore

106[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of our monthly mortgage as well.

107[Melvin Lim]
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So we have come up with this chart

108[Melvin Lim]
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in our PLB data analytics,

109[Melvin Lim]
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and you can have a look at this chart.

110[Melvin Lim]
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Basically, what this chart is going to show

111[Melvin Lim]
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is that, we’re going to look at the relation

112[Melvin Lim]
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of our residential price index, vis-a-vis

113[Melvin Lim]
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the mortgage interest rates over the past many years.

114[Melvin Lim]
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If we look at one of the Morgan Stanley reports

115[Melvin Lim]
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that came out just about two years back or three years back,

116[Melvin Lim]
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it has shown that out of five times

117[Melvin Lim]
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of mortgage rates fluctuation,

118[Melvin Lim]
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four out of five times where interest rates actually increased

119[Melvin Lim]
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in terms of mortgage interest rate,

120[Melvin Lim]
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the property price index

121[Melvin Lim]
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actually increased in tandem as well.

122[Melvin Lim]
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And only one round when mortgage interest rates increase,

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do we see a dip in the residential property price index.

124[Melvin Lim]
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So we had one episode on Nuggets On The Go

125[Melvin Lim]
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talking about the correlation between interest rate

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and residential price index.

127[Melvin Lim]
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I will leave it to you to understand that a little bit more.

128[Melvin Lim]
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So coming back, that was the first event that happened.

129[Melvin Lim]
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And that was a tapering of QE, quantitative easing,

130[Melvin Lim]
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thereby, as well as federal reserve

131[Melvin Lim]
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that’s trying to manage the high inflation rate

132[Melvin Lim]
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that has been experienced in US in Q4 of 2021.

133[Melvin Lim]
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Thus, the prediction is that interest rate

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might see a graduate increment, even in Singapore.

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Second event, of course,

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will be the cooling measures during 16 December 2021.

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And of course, right now in Q1,

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it’ll be the war Ukraine.

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Plus the US stock market, as well as the crypto market,

140[Melvin Lim]
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having a more depressed season right now in Q1 of 2022.

141[Melvin Lim]
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So everybody might be wondering,

142[Melvin Lim]
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“Hey, does all these events affect the price movement

143[Melvin Lim]
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and the price behaviour

144[Melvin Lim]
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plus outlook for the next three to four quarters

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as we move towards the tail end of 2022?

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And should I enter into the market?

147[Melvin Lim]
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Should I buy into the market?”

148[Melvin Lim]
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I think, let’s have a look at this.

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So this chart shows the entire characteristics

150[Melvin Lim]
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of what are the key factors internally,

151[Melvin Lim]
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as well as externally, that affects Singapore’s real estate.

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And why is it that Singapore real estate is vastly different

153[Melvin Lim]
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as an extreme safe haven.

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And of course, as a great store of value

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in the eyes of a lot of home buyers.

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And of course, when we say extreme safe haven,

157[Melvin Lim]
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it’s because there are so many things

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that is governing the real estate market right here,

159[Melvin Lim]
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that technically has made it more illiquid

160[Melvin Lim]
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and something that is more illiquid

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is more stable in the sense.

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And one key thing that we have talked about a lot of times

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is that the Seller’s Stamp Duty

164[Melvin Lim]
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has technically made our real estate extremely stable.

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Give you an example, in 2020, 2021,

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anybody that bought a home,

167[Melvin Lim]
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they will not sell it within three years.

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If somebody bought a property in 2020,

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the earliest time they can sell is 2023.

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If somebody were buy in 2021,

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the earliest time they can sell is 2024.

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And will they be in the rush to sell?

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Bear in mind

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that they have already pumped in 25% down payment.

175[Melvin Lim]
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They have 75% of mortgage,

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which is not high compared to 10, 15 years back

177[Melvin Lim]
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where you can take up to 85%,

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90% mortgage loan.

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Right now, anybody that purchases a property,

180[Melvin Lim]
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they have at least a quarter of holding power

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in terms of their equity that is locked into the property,

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be it their CPF funds or be it their cash outlay.

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Bear in mind as well,

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in Singapore,

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we have a lot of dual income families

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where husband and wife are both working,

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and husband and wife both have CPF contribution.

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And thus, CPF also is another bedrock

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that is sustaining the monthly mortgage as well.

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Third, another reason is also that a lot of families

191[Melvin Lim]
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bought property for their own stay,

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for their own children, for their own needs,

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buying near the schools, near the parents. And thus,

194[Melvin Lim]
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why is it that they will be in a rush to sell?

195[Melvin Lim]
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Should there be any kind of economic turmoil?

196[Melvin Lim]
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Unless of course, if both person lost their jobs,

197[Melvin Lim]
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or if the high income earner lost their job,

198[Melvin Lim]
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and if provided that they’re on a very high mortgage level

199[Melvin Lim]
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that their current balance in their CPF account

200[Melvin Lim]
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are not able to sustain.

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Then of course, that might be some of the reasons

202[Melvin Lim]
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that they might want to downsize.

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But however, we are not even going to recession now.

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And of course, the latest data just last week

205[Melvin Lim]
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was that our GDP is set to rise for the year 2022 as well.

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So when we look at all these different factors,

207[Melvin Lim]
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and bear in mind also

208[Melvin Lim]
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that we have so many cooling measures,

209[Melvin Lim]
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that’s already locked into our price index.

210[Melvin Lim]
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And anytime our government

211[Melvin Lim]
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can actually release some of the pricing indexes

212[Melvin Lim]
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to resuscitate the market.

213[Melvin Lim]
00:08:07,960 –> 00:08:09,200
So back to the question.

214[Melvin Lim]
00:08:09,200 –> 00:08:12,960
Should I time the market? Bearing in mind, external factors,

215[Melvin Lim]
00:08:12,960 –> 00:08:16,280
is that Singapore not only depends on external factors,

216[Melvin Lim]
00:08:16,280 –> 00:08:18,800
because internally we have more factors

217[Melvin Lim]
00:08:18,800 –> 00:08:22,560
that forms the entire benchmark, and the stability,

218[Melvin Lim]
00:08:22,560 –> 00:08:24,800
and the foundation of our real estate market,

219[Melvin Lim]
00:08:24,800 –> 00:08:26,320
compared to external factors.

220[Melvin Lim]
00:08:26,320 –> 00:08:28,160
Of course, external factors are very important

221[Melvin Lim]
00:08:28,160 –> 00:08:30,600
in terms of interest rate, quantitative easing.

222[Melvin Lim]
00:08:30,600 –> 00:08:33,080
Of course, foreign tensions, developments in the world.

223[Melvin Lim]
00:08:33,080 –> 00:08:34,840
However in Singapore, as a base,

224[Melvin Lim]
00:08:34,840 –> 00:08:37,800
we are technically called a real estate nation

225[Melvin Lim]
00:08:37,800 –> 00:08:40,240
because all of us are brought up, since young,

226[Melvin Lim]
00:08:40,240 –> 00:08:41,560
our parents the first thing they tell us

227[Melvin Lim]
00:08:41,560 –> 00:08:42,560
is that when you grow up,

228[Melvin Lim]
00:08:42,560 –> 00:08:45,160
get a stable job, buy your first property quick.

229[Melvin Lim]
00:08:45,160 –> 00:08:46,640
And somehow our parents just know

230[Melvin Lim]
00:08:46,640 –> 00:08:48,360
that we should all buy our own property.

231[Melvin Lim]
00:08:48,360 –> 00:08:50,120
And because that was the mantra

232[Melvin Lim]
00:08:50,120 –> 00:08:52,360
that has been drilled into us since young.

233[Melvin Lim]
00:08:52,360 –> 00:08:55,520
It is to own our first property as early as possible,

234[Melvin Lim]
00:08:55,520 –> 00:08:57,960
compared to, of course in the West or in Japan,

235[Melvin Lim]
00:08:57,960 –> 00:09:00,760
where a huge percentage of residents there,

236[Melvin Lim]
00:09:00,760 –> 00:09:02,720
they rent their properties year after year,

237[Melvin Lim]
00:09:02,720 –> 00:09:04,520
because they’re on a different market right there.

238[Melvin Lim]
00:09:04,520 –> 00:09:06,360
But in Singapore, it’s vastly different.

239[Melvin Lim]
00:09:06,360 –> 00:09:08,120
Our government has policies in place

240[Melvin Lim]
00:09:08,120 –> 00:09:11,320
to help everybody own their first BTO or resale HDB.

241[Melvin Lim]
00:09:11,320 –> 00:09:13,720
And that forms a new base as well.

242[Melvin Lim]
00:09:13,720 –> 00:09:16,600
If we do well in our work, have a stable income and savings.

243[Melvin Lim]
00:09:16,600 –> 00:09:19,200
And of course, moving on, if your HDB appreciates

244[Melvin Lim]
00:09:19,200 –> 00:09:21,040
that also gives you an extra push

245[Melvin Lim]
00:09:21,040 –> 00:09:22,840
to upgrade to the next private property.

246[Melvin Lim]
00:09:22,840 –> 00:09:27,200
So our internal factors are actually stronger in the sense

247[Melvin Lim]
00:09:27,200 –> 00:09:29,920
compared to external influence.

248[Melvin Lim]
00:09:29,920 –> 00:09:33,280
And also for the fact that external foreign investors,

249[Melvin Lim]
00:09:33,280 –> 00:09:36,440
they love to position their funds in Singapore.

250[Melvin Lim]
00:09:36,440 –> 00:09:38,800
And that also gave rise to the wealth tax.

251[Melvin Lim]
00:09:38,800 –> 00:09:40,600
And of course, the rationale having a wealth tax

252[Melvin Lim]
00:09:40,600 –> 00:09:42,840
is because definitely in terms of data,

253[Melvin Lim]
00:09:42,840 –> 00:09:46,120
we have seen a rise in the amount of foreign investors

254[Melvin Lim]
00:09:46,120 –> 00:09:48,320
pumping in their money right here in Singapore

255[Melvin Lim]
00:09:48,320 –> 00:09:49,840
as a store of value.

256[Melvin Lim]
00:09:49,840 –> 00:09:52,000
And the natural instinct is firstly,

257[Melvin Lim]
00:09:52,000 –> 00:09:53,160
to set up family office,

258[Melvin Lim]
00:09:53,160 –> 00:09:55,840
secondly, is to start to own assets right here.

259[Melvin Lim]
00:09:55,840 –> 00:09:57,840
And in the world, everybody knows that real estate

260[Melvin Lim]
00:09:57,840 –> 00:10:01,240
is one of the most stable forms of store of value right here.

261[Melvin Lim]
00:10:01,240 –> 00:10:03,520
And whether it can appreciation on real estate year-on-year,

262[Melvin Lim]
00:10:03,520 –> 00:10:05,280
win different types of asset class,

263[Melvin Lim]
00:10:05,280 –> 00:10:06,520
there’s a whole different topic,

264[Melvin Lim]
00:10:06,520 –> 00:10:07,840
but in terms of stability,

265[Melvin Lim]
00:10:07,840 –> 00:10:10,400
you will not see like an overnight tech stocks

266[Melvin Lim]
00:10:10,400 –> 00:10:12,600
dropping by more than 20 or 30%.

267[Melvin Lim]
00:10:12,600 –> 00:10:15,200
Like what we’ve seen on the Q3 of 2021,

268[Melvin Lim]
00:10:15,200 –> 00:10:16,800
where all our favourite tech stocks,

269[Melvin Lim]
00:10:16,800 –> 00:10:19,960
technically dipped by close to 20, 30%.

270[Melvin Lim]
00:10:19,960 –> 00:10:22,960
And of course recently, up to 40% in the Q1 of 2022.

271[Melvin Lim]
00:10:22,960 –> 00:10:25,520
So naturally speaking, if somebody has already bought,

272[Melvin Lim]
00:10:25,520 –> 00:10:26,720
let’s say a landed property

273[Melvin Lim]
00:10:26,720 –> 00:10:29,960
or a condominium in 2020 or 2021.

274[Melvin Lim]
00:10:29,960 –> 00:10:31,440
Firstly, they have no need to sell.

275[Melvin Lim]
00:10:31,440 –> 00:10:34,360
Secondly, they are already sitting on paper gain.

276[Melvin Lim]
00:10:34,360 –> 00:10:36,640
And the psychology is that if somebody

277[Melvin Lim]
00:10:36,640 –> 00:10:38,840
is already sitting on paper gain on their property,

278[Melvin Lim]
00:10:38,840 –> 00:10:39,880
just take for example,

279[Melvin Lim]
00:10:39,880 –> 00:10:43,240
if somebody were to purchase an inter-terrace in 2020,

280[Melvin Lim]
00:10:43,240 –> 00:10:44,160
we’re talking about inter-terrace

281[Melvin Lim]
00:10:44,160 –> 00:10:45,920
that is in a move-in condition.

282[Melvin Lim]
00:10:45,920 –> 00:10:47,640
You can easily get an inter-terrace

283[Melvin Lim]
00:10:47,640 –> 00:10:50,440
that is in the range of $2.5 mil to $2.8 mil

284[Melvin Lim]
00:10:50,440 –> 00:10:53,640
in the OCR region, let’s say in D19 or D28.

285[Melvin Lim]
00:10:53,640 –> 00:10:56,360
And if somebody has bought in at a $2.5 mil,

286[Melvin Lim]
00:10:56,360 –> 00:10:57,280
just two years back,

287[Melvin Lim]
00:10:57,280 –> 00:10:58,440
right now in the market,

288[Melvin Lim]
00:10:58,440 –> 00:11:01,320
you can technically not find any inter-terrace

289[Melvin Lim]
00:11:01,320 –> 00:11:03,120
that is freehold or 999-year in nature,

290[Melvin Lim]
00:11:03,120 –> 00:11:05,240
that is below $3 mil.

291[Melvin Lim]
00:11:05,240 –> 00:11:08,080
And those properties right now at $3 mil,

292[Melvin Lim]
00:11:08,080 –> 00:11:11,120
in either D19 or D28 in the OCR region,

293[Melvin Lim]
00:11:11,120 –> 00:11:14,680
they are the inter-terraces that needs to be fully rebuilt.

294[Melvin Lim]
00:11:14,680 –> 00:11:16,800
They are definitely the single-storey ones.

295[Melvin Lim]
00:11:16,800 –> 00:11:20,760
You need to tear down, rebuild, pump in $350 PSF,

296[Melvin Lim]
00:11:20,760 –> 00:11:23,320
pump in close to about $1.4 mil to $1.6 mil.

297[Melvin Lim]
00:11:23,320 –> 00:11:25,920
Your total cost will amount to $4.6 mil

298[Melvin Lim]
00:11:25,920 –> 00:11:27,400
after 80 months of construction.

299[Melvin Lim]
00:11:27,400 –> 00:11:29,680
This is now the new price of landed homes,

300[Melvin Lim]
00:11:29,680 –> 00:11:31,960
just a short two years later in the year 2022.

301[Melvin Lim]
00:11:31,960 –> 00:11:34,360
In fact, last year, we released a video

302[Melvin Lim]
00:11:34,360 –> 00:11:36,640
and shared that in 2022 onwards,

303[Melvin Lim]
00:11:36,640 –> 00:11:38,240
if you’re hunting for a landed property,

304[Melvin Lim]
00:11:38,240 –> 00:11:41,280
one of the key types of landed properties that you can look at,

305[Melvin Lim]
00:11:41,280 –> 00:11:43,200
if let’s say you’re considering and contemplating

306[Melvin Lim]
00:11:43,200 –> 00:11:44,680
between an inter-terrace or semi-D,

307[Melvin Lim]
00:11:44,680 –> 00:11:48,120
is to go for a semi-D in the range of $4 mil~.

308[Melvin Lim]
00:11:48,120 –> 00:11:48,960
Why is that?

309[Melvin Lim]
00:11:48,960 –> 00:11:49,920
So it’s because $4 mil

310[Melvin Lim]
00:11:49,920 –> 00:11:51,960
can only get you an older type of semi-D

311[Melvin Lim]
00:11:51,960 –> 00:11:54,280
but that’s fine, because you’re buying the land.

312[Melvin Lim]
00:11:54,280 –> 00:11:56,360
And to sidetrack a little bit, just for our landed lovers,

313[Melvin Lim]
00:11:56,360 –> 00:11:59,080
is that the land size is extremely important

314[Melvin Lim]
00:11:59,080 –> 00:12:00,240
in this next season.

315[Melvin Lim]
00:12:00,240 –> 00:12:01,760
Now, we always talk about quantum effect.

316[Melvin Lim]
00:12:01,760 –> 00:12:04,040
And of course, if you are new to the landed market,

317[Melvin Lim]
00:12:04,040 –> 00:12:06,040
maybe you should start off with the inter-terrace first.

318[Melvin Lim]
00:12:06,040 –> 00:12:06,880
However,

319[Melvin Lim]
00:12:06,880 –> 00:12:08,880
when we look at the price growth of inter-terraces

320[Melvin Lim]
00:12:08,880 –> 00:12:12,040
over the past two years, vis-a-vis the semi-D price growth,

321[Melvin Lim]
00:12:12,040 –> 00:12:13,360
if you can find something

322[Melvin Lim]
00:12:13,360 –> 00:12:14,680
in the $4+ mil range,

323[Melvin Lim]
00:12:14,680 –> 00:12:16,640
even if it is an older semi-D,

324[Melvin Lim]
00:12:16,640 –> 00:12:19,000
sitting on, let’s say a 3,000-odd sqft of land,

325[Melvin Lim]
00:12:19,000 –> 00:12:20,080
you should go for it,

326[Melvin Lim]
00:12:20,080 –> 00:12:23,720
because any $100 PSF or $200 PSF price appreciation

327[Melvin Lim]
00:12:23,720 –> 00:12:24,960
on the land price

328[Melvin Lim]
00:12:24,960 –> 00:12:27,920
is going to see a higher quantum gain for you.

329[Melvin Lim]
00:12:27,920 –> 00:12:28,960
So let’s say for example,

330[Melvin Lim]
00:12:28,960 –> 00:12:31,880
comparing these two land sizes, one is at 2,200 sqft,

331[Melvin Lim]
00:12:31,880 –> 00:12:34,080
the other one is at 3,800 sqft.

332[Melvin Lim]
00:12:34,080 –> 00:12:35,440
What is potentially going to happen

333[Melvin Lim]
00:12:35,440 –> 00:12:37,400
is that if there’s a $100 PSF,

334[Melvin Lim]
00:12:37,400 –> 00:12:40,720
or maybe let’s say for example, $200 PSF increment.

335[Melvin Lim]
00:12:40,720 –> 00:12:42,640
And when we look at pure landed properties,

336[Melvin Lim]
00:12:42,640 –> 00:12:45,040
we always look at the land PSF.

337[Melvin Lim]
00:12:45,040 –> 00:12:46,640
We don’t talk about the build-up PSF,

338[Melvin Lim]
00:12:46,640 –> 00:12:49,240
because build-up PSF are being reserved for strata property.

339[Melvin Lim]
00:12:49,240 –> 00:12:51,200
So when there’s a $200 PSF price increment,

340[Melvin Lim]
00:12:51,200 –> 00:12:52,360
what’s going to happen

341[Melvin Lim]
00:12:52,360 –> 00:12:55,760
is that this 2,200 sqft land that you own

342[Melvin Lim]
00:12:55,760 –> 00:12:58,000
is going to appreciate by $440K.

343[Melvin Lim]
00:12:58,000 –> 00:13:01,480
And the 3,800 sqft land that you own

344[Melvin Lim]
00:13:01,480 –> 00:13:04,080
is going to appreciate by $760K.

345[Melvin Lim]
00:13:04,080 –> 00:13:07,080
Although the PSF increment is $200 PSF each

346[Melvin Lim]
00:13:07,080 –> 00:13:08,280
in terms of the land PSF,

347[Melvin Lim]
00:13:08,280 –> 00:13:11,000
let’s say in the same landed enclave, in the same district.

348[Melvin Lim]
00:13:11,000 –> 00:13:11,920
When you look at that,

349[Melvin Lim]
00:13:11,920 –> 00:13:13,520
the quantum difference is huge

350[Melvin Lim]
00:13:13,520 –> 00:13:17,040
because there’s close to about $300K quantum appreciation

351[Melvin Lim]
00:13:17,040 –> 00:13:19,240
that has benefited the owner

352[Melvin Lim]
00:13:19,240 –> 00:13:21,000
sitting on the larger land plot.

353[Melvin Lim]
00:13:21,000 –> 00:13:22,840
Of course, there are various other factors

354[Melvin Lim]
00:13:22,840 –> 00:13:24,640
like the exact position on the land plot,

355[Melvin Lim]
00:13:24,640 –> 00:13:26,200
whether it is near to the substation,

356[Melvin Lim]
00:13:26,200 –> 00:13:27,720
whether it is facing a T road,

357[Melvin Lim]
00:13:27,720 –> 00:13:29,280
whether what was the condition of the age,

358[Melvin Lim]
00:13:29,280 –> 00:13:30,560
and the landed home

359[Melvin Lim]
00:13:30,560 –> 00:13:32,240
in terms of its building and construction age,

360[Melvin Lim]
00:13:32,240 –> 00:13:33,080
that’s sitting on the land itself.

361[Melvin Lim]
00:13:33,080 –> 00:13:35,480
But of course, if we compare apple to apple,

362[Melvin Lim]
00:13:35,480 –> 00:13:38,640
let’s say both are 10 years old, a small and a larger land.

363[Melvin Lim]
00:13:38,640 –> 00:13:39,440
Definitely you’ll be able

364[Melvin Lim]
00:13:39,440 –> 00:13:42,280
to see that larger and higher quantum appreciation.

365[Melvin Lim]
00:13:42,280 –> 00:13:43,880
Now, what does that mean for you

366[Melvin Lim]
00:13:43,880 –> 00:13:46,040
is that if let’s say for example,

367[Melvin Lim]
00:13:46,040 –> 00:13:49,480
if you’re looking for a price gain in terms of equity,

368[Melvin Lim]
00:13:49,480 –> 00:13:52,240
the larger land is going to give you that higher price gain.

369[Melvin Lim]
00:13:52,240 –> 00:13:54,720
Of course, then after that you can do equity term loan.

370[Melvin Lim]
00:13:54,720 –> 00:13:57,520
You can extract equity, do other stuff with it,

371[Melvin Lim]
00:13:57,520 –> 00:13:59,440
maybe pump into the business for your own personal use

372[Melvin Lim]
00:13:59,440 –> 00:14:00,320
and things like that.

373[Melvin Lim]
00:14:00,320 –> 00:14:01,160
All right, so coming back

374[Melvin Lim]
00:14:01,160 –> 00:14:03,520
from a sidetrack question on landed properties and semi-D.

375[Melvin Lim]
00:14:03,520 –> 00:14:05,120
That segment is very suitable

376[Melvin Lim]
00:14:05,120 –> 00:14:07,040
if you’re trying to enter into landed market

377[Melvin Lim]
00:14:07,040 –> 00:14:09,200
and you’re contemplating inter-terrace or semi-D.

378[Melvin Lim]
00:14:09,200 –> 00:14:11,400
All right, so let’s come back to this segment again,

379[Melvin Lim]
00:14:11,400 –> 00:14:12,760
which is about timing the market.

380[Melvin Lim]
00:14:12,760 –> 00:14:14,480
One more thing to notice about the market

381[Melvin Lim]
00:14:14,480 –> 00:14:16,480
is that the amount of inventory

382[Melvin Lim]
00:14:16,480 –> 00:14:18,600
that’s available in the general market.

383[Melvin Lim]
00:14:18,600 –> 00:14:20,440
So for example, if you’re hunting for condominium,

384[Melvin Lim]
00:14:20,440 –> 00:14:21,440
let’s say, it’s a 4-bedder,

385[Melvin Lim]
00:14:21,440 –> 00:14:24,960
try to track how many listings are available month-to-month.

386[Melvin Lim]
00:14:24,960 –> 00:14:25,880
And you’ll start to notice

387[Melvin Lim]
00:14:25,880 –> 00:14:27,480
that in terms of inventory in the market,

388[Melvin Lim]
00:14:27,480 –> 00:14:30,440
the large size units inventory are definitely dropping,

389[Melvin Lim]
00:14:30,440 –> 00:14:32,240
especially in the first quarter of 2022.

390[Melvin Lim]
00:14:32,240 –> 00:14:35,240
So if you’re hunting for like 4-bedders, for penthouse,

391[Melvin Lim]
00:14:35,240 –> 00:14:37,200
for even large size 3-bedders,

392[Melvin Lim]
00:14:37,200 –> 00:14:38,600
or definitely landed properties,

393[Melvin Lim]
00:14:38,600 –> 00:14:40,640
you’ll notice that the amount of listings

394[Melvin Lim]
00:14:40,640 –> 00:14:42,280
and inventory have dipped.

395[Melvin Lim]
00:14:42,280 –> 00:14:43,400
If you are going to like,

396[Melvin Lim]
00:14:43,400 –> 00:14:45,600
one of the most popular websites, on PropertyGuru,

397[Melvin Lim]
00:14:45,600 –> 00:14:48,640
something to note is that if you want to filter away

398[Melvin Lim]
00:14:48,640 –> 00:14:49,480
and you don’t want

399[Melvin Lim]
00:14:49,480 –> 00:14:51,680
to look at new launch kind of advertisements and listings,

400[Melvin Lim]
00:14:51,680 –> 00:14:53,440
you can select a filter button

401[Melvin Lim]
00:14:53,440 –> 00:14:55,240
and go to the completion year.

402[Melvin Lim]
00:14:55,240 –> 00:14:58,080
And you can key in 2022 as the completion year.

403[Melvin Lim]
00:14:58,080 –> 00:14:59,760
And of course, if you want to further segregate,

404[Melvin Lim]
00:14:59,760 –> 00:15:01,680
then you can just key in 2021,

405[Melvin Lim]
00:15:01,680 –> 00:15:03,040
so that this will then,

406[Melvin Lim]
00:15:03,040 –> 00:15:05,720
filter away all the new launches advertisements.

407[Melvin Lim]
00:15:05,720 –> 00:15:06,680
And that will then

408[Melvin Lim]
00:15:06,680 –> 00:15:09,880
give you the correct general health of the market

409[Melvin Lim]
00:15:09,880 –> 00:15:11,520
in terms of the amount listing in the resale market.

410[Melvin Lim]
00:15:11,520 –> 00:15:12,880
Of course, from that total amount,

411[Melvin Lim]
00:15:12,880 –> 00:15:15,200
you need to discount another few percentage points

412[Melvin Lim]
00:15:15,200 –> 00:15:16,960
because sometimes a listing can be marketed

413[Melvin Lim]
00:15:16,960 –> 00:15:18,480
by several different agents.

414[Melvin Lim]
00:15:18,480 –> 00:15:19,320
And of course,

415[Melvin Lim]
00:15:19,320 –> 00:15:21,480
maybe a team of agents is marketing it on the same listing.

416[Melvin Lim]
00:15:21,480 –> 00:15:22,600
So there could be duplicates

417[Melvin Lim]
00:15:22,600 –> 00:15:24,160
in terms of the amount listings available.

418[Melvin Lim]
00:15:24,160 –> 00:15:26,600
And definitely landed listings, compared to two years back,

419[Melvin Lim]
00:15:26,600 –> 00:15:28,280
has a lower inventory right now.

420[Melvin Lim]
00:15:28,280 –> 00:15:30,560
Condominium listings in terms of larger units,

421[Melvin Lim]
00:15:30,560 –> 00:15:32,520
also have a more depleted inventory.

422[Melvin Lim]
00:15:32,520 –> 00:15:34,000
That would then also give you a sense

423[Melvin Lim]
00:15:34,000 –> 00:15:36,440
of what other buyers are hunting out for.

424[Melvin Lim]
00:15:36,440 –> 00:15:39,040
And whether the existing owners of the larger units,

425[Melvin Lim]
00:15:39,040 –> 00:15:40,720
are they putting their properties in the market?

426[Melvin Lim]
00:15:40,720 –> 00:15:43,520
Of course, back to the actual market sentiment.

427[Melvin Lim]
00:15:43,520 –> 00:15:44,360
A lot of owners

428[Melvin Lim]
00:15:44,360 –> 00:15:46,040
that might be putting their properties in the market

429[Melvin Lim]
00:15:46,040 –> 00:15:48,120
might also be hunting for a larger property,

430[Melvin Lim]
00:15:48,120 –> 00:15:51,120
or maybe moving to different parts of Singapore Island.

431[Melvin Lim]
00:15:51,120 –> 00:15:53,480
And thus, everybody has their own different kinds of reasons

432[Melvin Lim]
00:15:53,480 –> 00:15:55,480
and rationales for putting their property in the market.

433[Melvin Lim]
00:15:55,480 –> 00:15:56,440
But most importantly,

434[Melvin Lim]
00:15:56,440 –> 00:15:59,240
the same advice still stands from PLB

435[Melvin Lim]
00:15:59,240 –> 00:16:01,160
is that do not time the market,

436[Melvin Lim]
00:16:01,160 –> 00:16:02,920
especially if it is your first

437[Melvin Lim]
00:16:02,920 –> 00:16:05,240
or it is your current primary residence.

438[Melvin Lim]
00:16:05,240 –> 00:16:07,240
So if you’re holding onto one property,

439[Melvin Lim]
00:16:07,240 –> 00:16:09,720
you want to shift because of several needs,

440[Melvin Lim]
00:16:09,720 –> 00:16:11,480
whether is it changing a location,

441[Melvin Lim]
00:16:11,480 –> 00:16:12,320
because you want to get

442[Melvin Lim]
00:16:12,320 –> 00:16:14,440
into 1km radius of your kid’s school,

443[Melvin Lim]
00:16:14,440 –> 00:16:15,760
when they’re entering into P1.

444[Melvin Lim]
00:16:15,760 –> 00:16:16,600
Or you are switching,

445[Melvin Lim]
00:16:16,600 –> 00:16:18,280
because you have already seen appreciation

446[Melvin Lim]
00:16:18,280 –> 00:16:20,640
in your current property, in this current enclave.

447[Melvin Lim]
00:16:20,640 –> 00:16:22,640
You want to switch and then extract the capital,

448[Melvin Lim]
00:16:22,640 –> 00:16:23,560
get a bigger property,

449[Melvin Lim]
00:16:23,560 –> 00:16:24,560
or maybe get one property,

450[Melvin Lim]
00:16:24,560 –> 00:16:26,160
each other, you and your spouse name,

451[Melvin Lim]
00:16:26,160 –> 00:16:27,600
then do not time the market.

452[Melvin Lim]
00:16:27,600 –> 00:16:30,120
Do not try to go and rent for two years,

453[Melvin Lim]
00:16:30,120 –> 00:16:31,880
wait out and try to see what happens

454[Melvin Lim]
00:16:31,880 –> 00:16:34,880
because the another factor is that you are also paying rent.

455[Melvin Lim]
00:16:34,880 –> 00:16:37,000
And when you pay rent, it’s all hard cash.

456[Melvin Lim]
00:16:37,000 –> 00:16:38,480
You cannot use your CPF to pay.

457[Melvin Lim]
00:16:38,480 –> 00:16:40,120
Just a simple rental of $5K a month

458[Melvin Lim]
00:16:40,120 –> 00:16:43,720
will then equate to $60K in a year, $120K in two years.

459[Melvin Lim]
00:16:43,720 –> 00:16:45,000
Also bearing in mind

460[Melvin Lim]
00:16:45,000 –> 00:16:47,960
that rental rates are increasing surprisingly

461[Melvin Lim]
00:16:47,960 –> 00:16:50,120
over the past one-odd year.

462[Melvin Lim]
00:16:50,120 –> 00:16:52,480
And I think the key rationale is because a lot more people

463[Melvin Lim]
00:16:52,480 –> 00:16:53,400
are coming out to rent.

464[Melvin Lim]
00:16:53,400 –> 00:16:55,720
A lot of expats, they are still in Singapore.

465[Melvin Lim]
00:16:55,720 –> 00:16:58,160
They are unable to head home because of the pandemic.

466[Melvin Lim]
00:16:58,160 –> 00:17:00,280
So vis-a-vis all these reasons,

467[Melvin Lim]
00:17:00,280 –> 00:17:02,360
rental rates are increasing as well.

468[Melvin Lim]
00:17:02,360 –> 00:17:03,200
And of course,

469[Melvin Lim]
00:17:03,200 –> 00:17:04,960
the latest increment in terms of property tax

470[Melvin Lim]
00:17:04,960 –> 00:17:06,680
will also potentially split landlords

471[Melvin Lim]
00:17:06,680 –> 00:17:08,520
to increase their rental rates slightly

472[Melvin Lim]
00:17:08,520 –> 00:17:10,280
to cover the increment

473[Melvin Lim]
00:17:10,280 –> 00:17:12,360
in terms of the cost of holding on to their properties.

474[Melvin Lim]
00:17:12,360 –> 00:17:14,520
And definitely, if it’s your current property

475[Melvin Lim]
00:17:14,520 –> 00:17:15,840
and it’s meant for own stay,

476[Melvin Lim]
00:17:15,840 –> 00:17:18,000
do your best, not to time the market,

477[Melvin Lim]
00:17:18,000 –> 00:17:19,400
try to do it concurrently,

478[Melvin Lim]
00:17:19,400 –> 00:17:22,600
or try to make sure that there’s no huge gap in between.

479[Melvin Lim]
00:17:22,600 –> 00:17:23,880
You can rent for three, six,

480[Melvin Lim]
00:17:23,880 –> 00:17:26,040
or maybe at max nine months or a year.

481[Melvin Lim]
00:17:26,040 –> 00:17:26,880
I think that’s fine.

482[Melvin Lim]
00:17:26,880 –> 00:17:28,800
But if you try to prolong to two, three years,

483[Melvin Lim]
00:17:28,800 –> 00:17:31,200
then I think you have to factor in the different types

484[Melvin Lim]
00:17:31,200 –> 00:17:33,440
of costs that are being involved.

485[Melvin Lim]
00:17:33,440 –> 00:17:35,760
Try to use something like a breakeven kind of calculator.

486[Melvin Lim]
00:17:35,760 –> 00:17:38,080
So at PLB you have like a breakeven calculator

487[Melvin Lim]
00:17:38,080 –> 00:17:39,920
to try to see if things make sense.

488[Melvin Lim]
00:17:39,920 –> 00:17:42,440
So for example, we always try to make sense if let’s say,

489[Melvin Lim]
00:17:42,440 –> 00:17:43,520
it makes sense to rent

490[Melvin Lim]
00:17:43,520 –> 00:17:46,040
and what will be the total breakeven price

491[Melvin Lim]
00:17:46,040 –> 00:17:47,160
after two to three years.

492[Melvin Lim]
00:17:47,160 –> 00:17:49,800
And then whether does it make sense for a family to rent?

493[Melvin Lim]
00:17:49,800 –> 00:17:50,880
Because most importantly,

494[Melvin Lim]
00:17:50,880 –> 00:17:51,800
we want to make sure that in terms

495[Melvin Lim]
00:17:51,800 –> 00:17:54,960
of the outgoing cost of rental plus the purchase price,

496[Melvin Lim]
00:17:54,960 –> 00:17:56,640
does it make sense at the end of the day?

497[Melvin Lim]
00:17:56,640 –> 00:17:57,960
And that is, of course very important

498[Melvin Lim]
00:17:57,960 –> 00:17:59,000
when you’re trying to decide

499[Melvin Lim]
00:17:59,000 –> 00:18:01,640
to buy either a new launch project or maybe a resale project,

500[Melvin Lim]
00:18:01,640 –> 00:18:04,120
because all this cost needs to be factored in.

501[Melvin Lim]
00:18:04,120 –> 00:18:05,720
And so I hope you had a better understanding

502[Melvin Lim]
00:18:05,720 –> 00:18:08,480
of whether should you time or not time the market,

503[Melvin Lim]
00:18:08,480 –> 00:18:09,360
because importantly,

504[Melvin Lim]
00:18:09,360 –> 00:18:11,440
Singapore is very different from the rest of the world.

505[Melvin Lim]
00:18:11,440 –> 00:18:14,680
A lot of demand comes from internal residents.

506[Melvin Lim]
00:18:14,680 –> 00:18:16,200
We are a real estate nation.

507[Melvin Lim]
00:18:16,200 –> 00:18:19,520
Everybody wants a roof over their head for own stay.

508[Melvin Lim]
00:18:19,520 –> 00:18:21,040
And we’re of a different demographics

509[Melvin Lim]
00:18:21,040 –> 00:18:23,040
because we have things like CPF,

510[Melvin Lim]
00:18:23,040 –> 00:18:24,880
that’s helping us in terms of monthly mortgage.

511[Melvin Lim]
00:18:24,880 –> 00:18:26,960
We have things like, we have dual income families.

512[Melvin Lim]
00:18:26,960 –> 00:18:28,040
And most importantly,

513[Melvin Lim]
00:18:28,040 –> 00:18:30,360
our land is scarce and supply is limited.

514[Melvin Lim]
00:18:30,360 –> 00:18:32,040
So let’s move on to the second part

515[Melvin Lim]
00:18:32,040 –> 00:18:33,560
of today’s Nuggets On The Go,

516[Melvin Lim]
00:18:33,560 –> 00:18:36,080
which is to talk about this freebie

517[Melvin Lim]
00:18:36,080 –> 00:18:38,720
that we have created for all our audiences.

518[Melvin Lim]
00:18:38,720 –> 00:18:41,760
It’s that we have come up with this exhaustive list for 2022.

519[Melvin Lim]
00:18:41,760 –> 00:18:43,040
And there are few key things

520[Melvin Lim]
00:18:43,040 –> 00:18:44,320
that will be very helpful for you.

521[Melvin Lim]
00:18:44,320 –> 00:18:47,200
So we have a confirmed list of GLS in 2022,

522[Melvin Lim]
00:18:47,200 –> 00:18:48,920
a reserve list of GLS,

523[Melvin Lim]
00:18:48,920 –> 00:18:50,680
which is Government Land Sales in 2022.

524[Melvin Lim]
00:18:50,680 –> 00:18:52,640
So this will help you in terms of knowing the exact location

525[Melvin Lim]
00:18:52,640 –> 00:18:54,160
of the next government land sales.

526[Melvin Lim]
00:18:54,160 –> 00:18:55,200
That can then help you

527[Melvin Lim]
00:18:55,200 –> 00:18:57,400
to forecast a little bit in your decision

528[Melvin Lim]
00:18:57,400 –> 00:18:58,480
on whether should you wait

529[Melvin Lim]
00:18:58,480 –> 00:19:00,240
for this properties to be launched.

530[Melvin Lim]
00:19:00,240 –> 00:19:03,120
Or if you’re hunting for some resale properties

531[Melvin Lim]
00:19:03,120 –> 00:19:05,680
beside these new launches that might be coming up,

532[Melvin Lim]
00:19:05,680 –> 00:19:06,520
then of course,

533[Melvin Lim]
00:19:06,520 –> 00:19:08,960
there’s one key thing that might instill growth

534[Melvin Lim]
00:19:08,960 –> 00:19:10,360
over the next three to five years.

535[Melvin Lim]
00:19:10,360 –> 00:19:11,200
Because every time

536[Melvin Lim]
00:19:11,200 –> 00:19:13,840
when a new launch sets the new PSF benchmark,

537[Melvin Lim]
00:19:13,840 –> 00:19:17,280
it will definitely bring a bulk movement, an upward movement,

538[Melvin Lim]
00:19:17,280 –> 00:19:19,480
in terms of resale properties around the area

539[Melvin Lim]
00:19:19,480 –> 00:19:21,000
after a mid-range kind of season.

540[Melvin Lim]
00:19:21,000 –> 00:19:22,920
So usually after a couple of years,

541[Melvin Lim]
00:19:22,920 –> 00:19:25,760
when a new launch is being launched and TOP-ed,

542[Melvin Lim]
00:19:25,760 –> 00:19:27,360
and transacted in the resale market,

543[Melvin Lim]
00:19:27,360 –> 00:19:28,280
most of the time,

544[Melvin Lim]
00:19:28,280 –> 00:19:30,280
the surrounding projects will see a gradual upward trend,

545[Melvin Lim]
00:19:30,280 –> 00:19:32,160
in terms of PSF as well.

546[Melvin Lim]
00:19:32,160 –> 00:19:32,960
We have also come out

547[Melvin Lim]
00:19:32,960 –> 00:19:35,480
with a successful en bloc list in 2021.

548[Melvin Lim]
00:19:35,480 –> 00:19:37,440
New launches list in 2022.

549[Melvin Lim]
00:19:37,440 –> 00:19:39,240
And then we have this bonus segment,

550[Melvin Lim]
00:19:39,240 –> 00:19:41,080
which is called a lease of new launches

551[Melvin Lim]
00:19:41,080 –> 00:19:43,040
that is going to TOP in 2022,

552[Melvin Lim]
00:19:43,040 –> 00:19:45,120
yet still having balanced developer units

553[Melvin Lim]
00:19:45,120 –> 00:19:46,200
that you can still buy.

554[Melvin Lim]
00:19:46,200 –> 00:19:49,120
We have also came up with a list of projects

555[Melvin Lim]
00:19:49,120 –> 00:19:50,920
that is going to TOP in 2022,

556[Melvin Lim]
00:19:50,920 –> 00:19:54,720
just in case, you prefer to enter into TOP projects,

557[Melvin Lim]
00:19:54,720 –> 00:19:56,400
meaning that you want to buy properties

558[Melvin Lim]
00:19:56,400 –> 00:19:58,040
that has never been occupied before,

559[Melvin Lim]
00:19:58,040 –> 00:19:59,560
directly from the first owner.

560[Melvin Lim]
00:19:59,560 –> 00:20:01,840
They just collected keys within the past three months.

561[Melvin Lim]
00:20:01,840 –> 00:20:03,720
And you want to own such kind of properties

562[Melvin Lim]
00:20:03,720 –> 00:20:05,800
because maybe you prefer brand new type properties,

563[Melvin Lim]
00:20:05,800 –> 00:20:07,720
but you don’t want to wait for new launch.

564[Melvin Lim]
00:20:07,720 –> 00:20:10,040
You still don’t want to get like older resale condos.

565[Melvin Lim]
00:20:10,040 –> 00:20:11,760
You want like those brand new,

566[Melvin Lim]
00:20:11,760 –> 00:20:14,120
we call them brand new TOP projects.

567[Melvin Lim]
00:20:14,120 –> 00:20:16,800
So we also have came out a list of landed homes

568[Melvin Lim]
00:20:16,800 –> 00:20:18,480
that are directly from developers.

569[Melvin Lim]
00:20:18,480 –> 00:20:19,520
But of course, we’re not talking

570[Melvin Lim]
00:20:19,520 –> 00:20:23,000
about the one to two unit kind of developers landed units.

571[Melvin Lim]
00:20:23,000 –> 00:20:25,520
We’re talking about a more large scale kind of fashion.

572[Melvin Lim]
00:20:25,520 –> 00:20:27,920
And thus, if you’re interested to have this list,

573[Melvin Lim]
00:20:27,920 –> 00:20:30,040
you just need to click on this link below,

574[Melvin Lim]
00:20:30,040 –> 00:20:33,240
or you can also drop us an email on [email protected].

575[Melvin Lim]
00:20:33,240 –> 00:20:34,840
And we’ll be happy to send you that list.

576[Melvin Lim]
00:20:34,840 –> 00:20:35,920
You can click on this link,

577[Melvin Lim]
00:20:35,920 –> 00:20:37,960
that’ll then bring you to automated response version

578[Melvin Lim]
00:20:37,960 –> 00:20:39,400
that will send you that PDF file,

579[Melvin Lim]
00:20:39,400 –> 00:20:42,520
for you to go through the table as well as the map itself.

580[Melvin Lim]
00:20:42,520 –> 00:20:43,880
So we hope that this list will help you.

581[Melvin Lim]
00:20:43,880 –> 00:20:48,440
And this list is in conjunction, before we end, to this,

582[Melvin Lim]
00:20:48,440 –> 00:20:49,840
that we want to bring out again.

583[Melvin Lim]
00:20:49,840 –> 00:20:52,800
So this chart, we talked about it slightly, previously,

584[Melvin Lim]
00:20:52,800 –> 00:20:55,520
and this is called the non-landed 2022 possible movements.

585[Melvin Lim]
00:20:55,520 –> 00:20:56,760
So is this still happening?

586[Melvin Lim]
00:20:56,760 –> 00:20:59,040
I would say that this is definitely still happening,

587[Melvin Lim]
00:20:59,040 –> 00:21:00,440
because what is happening right now in the market

588[Melvin Lim]
00:21:00,440 –> 00:21:02,040
is that developers this year,

589[Melvin Lim]
00:21:02,040 –> 00:21:04,760
they will be more motivated to bid for land

590[Melvin Lim]
00:21:04,760 –> 00:21:07,520
because a lot of developers land banks are depleting.

591[Melvin Lim]
00:21:07,520 –> 00:21:11,280
They are already going to complete a lot of projects in 2022.

592[Melvin Lim]
00:21:11,280 –> 00:21:13,240
And thus, they’re having a bit more bandwidth

593[Melvin Lim]
00:21:13,240 –> 00:21:14,200
to bid for projects.

594[Melvin Lim]
00:21:14,200 –> 00:21:16,280
You can see from the last few bids on Lentor

595[Melvin Lim]
00:21:16,280 –> 00:21:18,440
as well as Ang Mo Kio Avenue 1, and Slim Barracks,

596[Melvin Lim]
00:21:18,440 –> 00:21:21,000
in terms of the bidding movement from developers,

597[Melvin Lim]
00:21:21,000 –> 00:21:22,240
it’s definitely still healthy.

598[Melvin Lim]
00:21:22,240 –> 00:21:24,000
Of course, with the new ABSD,

599[Melvin Lim]
00:21:24,000 –> 00:21:26,440
sort of defray a little bit of interest.

600[Melvin Lim]
00:21:26,440 –> 00:21:29,040
However, I think developers definitely,

601[Melvin Lim]
00:21:29,040 –> 00:21:30,840
they are already very experienced,

602[Melvin Lim]
00:21:30,840 –> 00:21:33,520
especially with the TDSR that came up from 2013.

603[Melvin Lim]
00:21:33,520 –> 00:21:35,160
Most of the units right now

604[Melvin Lim]
00:21:35,160 –> 00:21:36,880
are done with a very efficient layout.

605[Melvin Lim]
00:21:36,880 –> 00:21:39,040
If you look at recent years, in terms of launches,

606[Melvin Lim]
00:21:39,040 –> 00:21:41,720
developers are also very focused on facilities,

607[Melvin Lim]
00:21:41,720 –> 00:21:44,000
architecture, the theme of the project,

608[Melvin Lim]
00:21:44,000 –> 00:21:46,120
which then attracts buyers to buy,

609[Melvin Lim]
00:21:46,120 –> 00:21:48,280
with a concept that even though you’re buying a unit

610[Melvin Lim]
00:21:48,280 –> 00:21:49,600
that is of a smaller size,

611[Melvin Lim]
00:21:49,600 –> 00:21:52,680
but you’re buying into the whole theme of the condominium itself

612[Melvin Lim]
00:21:52,680 –> 00:21:54,200
and enjoying the entire project,

613[Melvin Lim]
00:21:54,200 –> 00:21:55,400
rather than just thinking

614[Melvin Lim]
00:21:55,400 –> 00:21:58,040
about you owning that 1- or 2- or 3-bedder,

615[Melvin Lim]
00:21:58,040 –> 00:21:59,800
having that built-in area itself.

616[Melvin Lim]
00:21:59,800 –> 00:22:02,760
So you are technically buying into the theme of the project,

617[Melvin Lim]
00:22:02,760 –> 00:22:04,360
buying into the lifestyle of the project.

618[Melvin Lim]
00:22:04,360 –> 00:22:08,200
And thus, I think that this graph is still in line.

619[Melvin Lim]
00:22:08,200 –> 00:22:09,680
So if you want to understand a little bit more

620[Melvin Lim]
00:22:09,680 –> 00:22:11,480
about this graph in detail,

621[Melvin Lim]
00:22:11,480 –> 00:22:12,600
you can click on this link

622[Melvin Lim]
00:22:12,600 –> 00:22:14,240
to head back to our previous episodes.

623[Melvin Lim]
00:22:14,240 –> 00:22:15,160
And we have come to the end

624[Melvin Lim]
00:22:15,160 –> 00:22:16,400
of this Nuggets On The Go episode.

625[Melvin Lim]
00:22:16,400 –> 00:22:19,960
We hope that you enjoyed us answering these two themes today.

626[Melvin Lim]
00:22:19,960 –> 00:22:21,400
Firstly is, should we time to market?

627[Melvin Lim]
00:22:21,400 –> 00:22:23,200
Secondly is basically, the freebies

628[Melvin Lim]
00:22:23,200 –> 00:22:25,400
that we hope that will benefit you

629[Melvin Lim]
00:22:25,400 –> 00:22:27,600
and understanding about some of the key trends

630[Melvin Lim]
00:22:27,600 –> 00:22:29,280
of government land sales and new launches

631[Melvin Lim]
00:22:29,280 –> 00:22:30,760
that will happen in 2022.

632[Melvin Lim]
00:22:30,760 –> 00:22:33,240
To sum it up, naturally and definitely,

633[Melvin Lim]
00:22:33,240 –> 00:22:34,360
in terms of RCR region,

634[Melvin Lim]
00:22:34,360 –> 00:22:37,600
it will definitely be above the $2,000~ PSF benchmark.

635[Melvin Lim]
00:22:37,600 –> 00:22:41,240
We’re not seeing a lot of OCR launches this year, likely,

636[Melvin Lim]
00:22:41,240 –> 00:22:43,120
but if there are, definitely they’re all

637[Melvin Lim]
00:22:43,120 –> 00:22:46,840
challenging the $1,800 PSF upwards kind of benchmark.

638[Melvin Lim]
00:22:46,840 –> 00:22:48,720
And in CCR, I still think

639[Melvin Lim]
00:22:48,720 –> 00:22:51,320
that it is still the prime season and prime time,

640[Melvin Lim]
00:22:51,320 –> 00:22:55,920
because in terms of catch up of PSF from OCR and RCR,

641[Melvin Lim]
00:22:55,920 –> 00:22:58,200
RCR also makes a lot of sense,

642[Melvin Lim]
00:22:58,200 –> 00:23:00,480
especially if you’re hunting for a resale

643[Melvin Lim]
00:23:00,480 –> 00:23:02,360
or some of the balance launches right now,

644[Melvin Lim]
00:23:02,360 –> 00:23:04,280
that’s available in the CCR market.

645[Melvin Lim]
00:23:04,280 –> 00:23:07,280
So if you have the appetite in terms of a higher quantum,

646[Melvin Lim]
00:23:07,280 –> 00:23:09,760
a higher PSF in the CCR range,

647[Melvin Lim]
00:23:09,760 –> 00:23:10,600
and you’re thinking that,

648[Melvin Lim]
00:23:10,600 –> 00:23:12,280
“Hey, some of the RCR projects

649[Melvin Lim]
00:23:12,280 –> 00:23:15,080
are really catching up the PSF level in CCR,”

650[Melvin Lim]
00:23:15,080 –> 00:23:18,200
then it might make sense for you to enter into CCR region.

651[Melvin Lim]
00:23:18,200 –> 00:23:19,240
So that’s all for today.

652[Melvin Lim]
00:23:19,240 –> 00:23:20,760
And we hope that you enjoyed this episode.

653[Melvin Lim]
00:23:20,760 –> 00:23:21,640
My name is Melvin Lim.

654[Melvin Lim]
00:23:21,640 –> 00:23:23,800
And we’ll see you in the next NOTG.

655[Melvin Lim]
00:23:23,800 –> 00:23:24,520
Let’s go.

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