#16: Real Estate Asset Inflation | PropertyLimbrothers NOTG | S2 E16

Podcast

Overall inflation is expected to come in at 2% in 2021 and average at 1.5%-2.5% in 2022. But will it affect real estate? What about CPI inflation? In this nugget, we dive into all of these together, to find out what exactly does it mean for homebuyers and sellers alike. In fact, it’s one of our most anticipated videos, which uncovers why is the property market crazy in 2021.

Melvin checks out asset inflation over the recent years, do up analyses from HDB, condo, to even landed homes. So to slowly wrap things up for 2021, this will be an important episode for you to check out.

You can also see our video on this topic!

Our Author/Guests

Melvin Lim

Melvin Lim is CEO and co-founder of PropertyLimBrothers Team (PLB Team) – a leading real estate team in Singapore that serves its clientele and projects with unique crafted content and marketing and advertising campaign.

Transcript

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All right so we’re back with our season two

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of Nuggets On The Go and finally we’re back.

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And we just want to thank all our listeners

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who have downloaded our podcast and tuned in to our podcasts

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on Nuggets On The Go season one.

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We took a break.

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That was like

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I don’t know how many months, how many months did we take?

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[Daniel] Six months.

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Six months! Oh my goodness.

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Yeah, that’s Daniel, our sound engineer at PLB.

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So very excited to be back

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and thank you for all the support for season one.

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This is brand new season, season two right now

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and we are in the year 2021.

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And we’re gonna bring you

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through the series on Spotify and Apple Podcasts

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as well as YouTube on our PropertyLimBrothers channel also.

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So thank you once again

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and wishing everybody to have a great year ahead in 2021.

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Today, we’re gonna start off the season by talking

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about one of the very recent interviews that we had

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with one of our clients who we have known

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for the past 13 years and that’s Daniel and Sherry.

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So we just launched this Chit Chat Sessions about

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two days back on our Instagram, YouTube channel.

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And of course, if you have missed that

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you can head onto our YouTube channel to have a look

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at that 20 minutes interview we had.

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And of course the tour on their new landed property.

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So if you have seen that Chit Chat Session, so Daniel

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a quick recap for those who have not seen the episode.

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Daniel has been our client for the past 13 years.

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So we have been in the real estate industry for 14 years.

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This is the 15th year that we are

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in the real estate industry, myself and Adrian and of course

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we started PropertyLimBrothers in the year 2017.

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So Daniel was actually one of our very first clients

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in the first two years of our real estate career.

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We know him back then.

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He was just married as a young couple, himself and Sherry.

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They were a referred client

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from one of our previous customer.

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So they approached us because they need help

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and they need representation

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for them to buy and hunt for their first HDB property.

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So we actually helped them to purchase successfully

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a property in Punggol.

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At that time, it was a five-room flat.

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And back then, I still remember

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when they bought the place 13 years back,

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they were about 28 years old.

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This time they are

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at this current year, they are turning 41.

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So that was 13 years ago, first property.

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But the interesting thing why we want

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to interview them is that from that very first property,

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they have stayed in their first resale

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HDB flat for five years.

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And at the five years mark,

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we helped them to sell

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and subsequently we help them to purchase

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two private properties.

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And that is actually the beginning

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of their property journey.

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And this is something that

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is at the heart of a lot of families

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because sometimes when you have settled down

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on your first property, you have fulfilled the MOP period

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for the first HDB property,

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whether it’s a BTO or is it a resale.

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You will be wondering, “hey, should I make that move?

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Like a lot of my friends

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that are upgrading to private property

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and what are the setbacks?

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What are the pros and cons?”

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And usually this is a major decision,

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but of course we have also seen a lot of families

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because everybody’s busy with their professional work.

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And sometimes they put off this

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really very important

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planning phase

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and they put off this month after month and sooner or later,

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even though they have fulfilled their five years MOP period.

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By the time they really sit down and

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think through their plan is perhaps they’ve already lived

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in the HDB property for eight to nine years already.

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So there are some opportunity costs involved

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if you didn’t take the time to really sit down

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and plan your journey.

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I just did a interview

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with Singtel GOMO

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that was last week.

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And during that 45 minutes interview, I also spoke

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about this concept whereby actually in Singapore,

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we have a very short time span

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in terms of our property purchase and exit journey.

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Now, the key reason is because by the time most

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of the typical Singaporeans, once you graduate from

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let’s say tertiary education,

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and after army and you head on to university, settle down.

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By the time you start off your first career,

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you are perhaps between the age of 23 to 26.

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And then perhaps when you settle down, want to get married,

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wait for a BTO or buy a resale flat,

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that will perhaps be the time

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that you’re already close to 30 years old.

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So that is your very first property.

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You need to fulfil that five years MOP period.

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And the moment that you can sell first property

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perhaps you’re already between 35 to 38 years old.

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If you look forward,

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most people like to make their last move

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at age 50 to 52,

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now the key rationale is because

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most Singaporeans utilise their CPF funds

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for their properties in Singapore

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and there is a restriction.

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Once you turn 55, in fact

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you have to make your last purchase by 54.

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If not, there’s going to be a restriction on the amount of

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ordinary funds account that you can use

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from your CPF to put into your property.

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So by age 55, you have a new account that has been unlocked

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in your CPF account, which is your retirement account.

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In short we call it the RA account.

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If you don’t do your last purchase

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by age 54, technically speaking, you will see a drop

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in the amount CPF funds that you can use

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for your last purchase.

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And usually then people like to make their last planning.

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And of course by age 50 plus

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perhaps you want to slow down a little bit.

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You want to perhaps enjoy your retirement years

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and you might not want to take

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up so much debt and leverage on your property.

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And that’s the key reason why

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if you calculate from age 30 when you first purchase

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all the way to age 52 or 54 for your last purchase,

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that is actually a very short 20 to 24 years.

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So in between perhaps, you can make about four rounds

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of purchase and exit.

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Provided you plan in advance.

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So coming back to Daniel and Sherry’s case,

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they then sold off, we then helped them to sell their first

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HDB property at age 33.

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So they have fulfilled their five years MOP.

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So they were very determined because they wanted to exit

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from a HDB property because by age 33,

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both of them have higher earning power

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in terms of their career.

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So they of course understand, and they internally

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have planned as a couple that they want to then

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purchase a private property for stay plus invest

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in another private property for rental investment.

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So coming to this part, they are using this strategy of course

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with two separate names for each property.

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And this is very common in Singapore

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ever since the introduction of the different rounds

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of cooling measures, of course in order to own two properties

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without having to pay for additional buyer stamp duty.

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There is a very common route

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that couples will do provided that

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both couples are working

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and both have a decent salary to support

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the TDSR, Total Debt Servicing Ratio

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in terms of loan requirements.

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So of course…

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pardon me for the airplanes

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because our office is located in

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the Northeast area, so this is very close to

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of course the,

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what is that huh?

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Air base, oh Paya Lebar Air Base.

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Yes, yeah which will be shifted in 10 years’ time.

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So by year 2030.

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Yup, so of course, back to this topic.

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Yeah so Daniel and Sherry, they made a very decisive move.

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And of course we helped them to plan

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after a detailed calculation,

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we have then planned for one of them to purchase

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a larger property because their family needs are growing.

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They have kids.

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And so we helped them to purchase a penthouse.

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And of course the other property that we helped

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them to invest

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is a very rental grade property.

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So what do we mean by a rental grade property?

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Rental grade property means that

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if the main purpose is to hold the property for long-term

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then we wanna make sure that rentability

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in terms of two functions are being fulfilled.

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The first function is that the rental speed is not slow

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meaning that the rentability take-up rate is fast.

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And that will mean that when you want to switch tenants,

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let’s say a tenant exit after two years

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what is the timeframe that you will need to wait

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and market the rental property

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in order to get in the new tenant?

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So sometimes if you purchase properties

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that are not rental grade,

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you have long periods of gestation to wait

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for the next tenant to come in.

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That’s considered a rental loss

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because if you have three months

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of blank periods without tenancy, you’re losing three months

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of potential rental income and you yourself,

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not living there, having bought that rental property

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you will then have to act as a tenant to pay

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for the monthly instalment because by right,

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you should be receiving cashflow

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from your rental property to sustain part of an installment

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to the bank or the full instalment, per se,

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depending on what kind of property price quantum that you get.

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So for Daniel, we have short listed a property

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for them that is very close to the MRT station

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which is one of the key factors.

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Plus it is also in a hot zone

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with a lot of existing tenants pool.

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So rentability has always been great for them.

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In fact, the rental yield

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is great for this particular property.

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They are still holding that property right now.

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So that happened

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when they were age 33 and 34, they bought a penthouse.

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And then at age 34

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they bought a rental property through us.

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So fast forward to

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last year in year 2020

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because their family needs are growing again.

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And at the same time, things have changed

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because the key investment principle

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on why of course

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families or investors love to invest in properties.

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Of course, there are a few varying key factors

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on why properties are always a very good physical asset

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for you to store your value.

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But the key principle is that properties are assets

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with a good store of value,

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provided of course, there has to be several considerations.

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Like what is the balance lease

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for this particular property?

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Are we talking about a freehold property

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or are we talking about a 99-years leasehold property

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with let’s say a balance lease

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of 50 years or maybe 40 over years?

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So that is a different story, but properties in general,

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they are a great store of value.

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Now, the key reason is of course

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because of increasing construction costs because

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of the varying factors that we are in Singapore.

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Land scarce and we have a whole topic

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in our YouTube channel talking

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about why Singapore is different

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and property is of course the means

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kind of needs in terms

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of Singapore being a very high ownership rate

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kind of country compared to other countries

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because in a lot of different countries,

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they have perhaps a higher internal rental rate

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where most of the tenants are actually

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the citizens themselves.

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But Singapore is different

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because our ownership rate is so high

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and most Singaporeans love properties.

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I mean, from young, we are conditioned.

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We have a concept

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of owning our own property, having our own nest.

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So we are quite different in Singapore.

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And coming back to the factor

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that properties in general, they are a great store value.

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And with inflation, increasing construction costs

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varying factors, plus the way that we are

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in right now with so many cooling measures being plucked

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into the existing price index.

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Singapore is of course

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on the very gradual trend in terms of our property price.

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So things have changed for them because firstly,

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they now will want to,

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perhaps with the increase in the price of their penthouse

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on the day that they bought at age 34.

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All the way to now at age 40, there has already

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been a price appreciation for their current penthouse.

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And so they want to exit

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from it, park that capital, initial capital

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with the capital gain

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plus the amount that they’ve paid down in mortgage

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and pump it into a freehold landed property.

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So we talked about that in the entire episode.

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And that entire episode is talking

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about what was their mindset as a seller,

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why did they decide to go on this journey with us

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from HDB, to condo to landed.

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And of course they’re still holding

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onto that investment condo property

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which is so-called continuing

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to give them very good rental returns.

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And now of course they are holding

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onto their new landed property for their own family needs.

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And at the same time, it’s a freehold property.

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Sometimes, store of value

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have varying performance

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as years goes by

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because different properties have different performance

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in terms of their price appreciation factor.

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Is it plateauing?

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Is it increasing?

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And sometimes it’s a matter of putting your capital

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in a different property after several amount of years

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because perhaps that current property that you

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are holding right now, in terms of the performance

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versus another property, it has, so-called

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not performed as well because perhaps it has reached

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its level that is at a plateauing stage.

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So sometimes it’s about transferring your wealth,

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your capital, so that you transfer it to an asset

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with a better store of value

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or with a better chance of appreciation of value.

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So that is of course the key fundamental

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reason why sometimes families or investors,

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they switch properties.

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So I would strongly encourage you to have a look

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at that particular Chit Chat Session.

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And of course, by having a look at that,

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you will then understand a little bit more

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about what we are talking today.

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We hope to bring you more episodes on Nuggets On The Go

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season two, and meantime, we hope that you take care

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and that’s the end of today’s session.

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It’s great to be back

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and we will see you very soon.

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So meantime, take care, I’m Melvin Lim,

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PropertyLimBrothers, stay tuned, of course,

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to our home tours at all times,

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we launch home tours every week as well.

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And we hope to see you again, take care.

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