#10: Predicting 2022 Property Market | What It Will Mean for Buyers, Sellers + Investors | NOTG S2 E10

Podcast

Adding on to their vision to change the way real estate is marketed in Singapore, PropertyLimBrothers presents a new podcast series, Sofa So Good, hosted by real estate consultant and co-founder of PropertyLimBrothers, Melvin Lim. Melvin and his team sell homes by creating unique Video content for each property, he created the first Video Home Tour in Singapore in 2017 and have done more than 510 videos till date for real estate tours in Singapore.

You can also see our video on this topic!

Our Author/Guests

Melvin Lim

Melvin Lim is the co-founder and CEO of PropertyLimBrothers (PLB Realty). In Melvin’s eyes, every home has its own character and is unique. As a realtor, he enjoys telling stories about homes, highlighting what makes them special to potential buyers.

Transcript

1[Melvin Lim]
00:00:04,000 –> 00:00:07,080
What are some of the key trends moving forward into 2022?

2[Melvin Lim]
00:00:07,080 –> 00:00:10,000
We want to notice what are some of the key components

3[Melvin Lim]
00:00:10,000 –> 00:00:12,120
when it comes to government land sales?

4[Melvin Lim]
00:00:17,040 –> 00:00:18,760
Nuggets On The Go, let’s go.

5[Melvin Lim]
00:00:39,560 –> 00:00:41,240
All right, so we’re back with Nuggets On The Go,

6[Melvin Lim]
00:00:42,400 –> 00:00:44,480
Checkout this nugget at the back.

7[Melvin Lim]
00:00:44,480 –> 00:00:46,840
This is a shape of nugget actually.

8[Melvin Lim]
00:00:46,840 –> 00:00:49,480
In the middle of all the green colour stripe.

9[Melvin Lim]
00:00:49,480 –> 00:00:50,880
You see this orange thing?

10[Melvin Lim]
00:00:53,200 –> 00:00:54,640
All right

11[Melvin Lim]
00:00:56,800 –> 00:00:59,680
what are some of the key trends moving forward into 2022.

12[Melvin Lim]
00:00:59,680 –> 00:01:02,760
We’re right on the tail end of year 2021.

13[Melvin Lim]
00:01:02,760 –> 00:01:04,280
Congratulations, you made it.

14[Melvin Lim]
00:01:04,280 –> 00:01:08,920
And now we are in October towards the tail end of 2021.

15[Melvin Lim]
00:01:08,920 –> 00:01:11,680
Want to notice what are some of the key components

16[Melvin Lim]
00:01:11,680 –> 00:01:14,040
when it comes to government land sales,

17[Melvin Lim]
00:01:14,040 –> 00:01:16,520
as well as the balance inventory in the market

18[Melvin Lim]
00:01:16,520 –> 00:01:17,880
in terms of new launches,

19[Melvin Lim]
00:01:17,880 –> 00:01:20,960
how the resale prices moving for condominiums,

20[Melvin Lim]
00:01:20,960 –> 00:01:22,720
as well as we want to take note

21[Melvin Lim]
00:01:22,720 –> 00:01:24,320
of some of the key indicators coming up

22[Melvin Lim]
00:01:24,320 –> 00:01:26,200
in the next two to three years

23[Melvin Lim]
00:01:26,200 –> 00:01:28,280
in the sense that there’s gonna be a couple

24[Melvin Lim]
00:01:28,280 –> 00:01:30,880
of completed projects that will hit the market.

25[Melvin Lim]
00:01:30,880 –> 00:01:32,680
In short, property juggles that we use

26[Melvin Lim]
00:01:32,680 –> 00:01:35,200
when we talk about newly completed projects,

27[Melvin Lim]
00:01:35,200 –> 00:01:37,000
we call them TOP projects,

28[Melvin Lim]
00:01:37,000 –> 00:01:38,360
meaning temporary occupation period.

29[Melvin Lim]
00:01:38,360 –> 00:01:40,120
That’s the time that the owners

30[Melvin Lim]
00:01:40,120 –> 00:01:41,280
that bought from the launch,

31[Melvin Lim]
00:01:41,280 –> 00:01:43,360
they bought from the show flat from the developers.

32[Melvin Lim]
00:01:43,360 –> 00:01:45,000
They are going to collect their keys.

33[Melvin Lim]
00:01:45,000 –> 00:01:46,720
So in short, for the context of today’s session,

34[Melvin Lim]
00:01:46,720 –> 00:01:49,880
we’ll name all these top projects, as TOP projects.

35[Melvin Lim]
00:01:49,880 –> 00:01:52,240
So these are the four main pockets

36[Melvin Lim]
00:01:52,240 –> 00:01:53,320
that we’re gonna talk about.

37[Melvin Lim]
00:01:53,320 –> 00:01:54,760
I’m gonna look at my screen as well.

38[Melvin Lim]
00:01:54,760 –> 00:01:57,240
So if you see my eyes deviate a little bit, don’t worry.

39[Melvin Lim]
00:01:57,240 –> 00:01:58,560
I’m still looking at you.

40[Melvin Lim]
00:01:58,560 –> 00:02:00,840
All right, so four main things I want to discuss today

41[Melvin Lim]
00:02:00,840 –> 00:02:02,720
is that we’re gonna talk about some of the balance

42[Melvin Lim]
00:02:02,720 –> 00:02:04,880
new launches per square foot pricing.

43[Melvin Lim]
00:02:04,880 –> 00:02:07,600
We also wanna look at the new, new launch

44[Melvin Lim]
00:02:07,600 –> 00:02:09,280
per square foot pricing.

45[Melvin Lim]
00:02:09,280 –> 00:02:11,400
And when we categorise them as new launch,

46[Melvin Lim]
00:02:11,400 –> 00:02:13,600
we are talking about those new launches

47[Melvin Lim]
00:02:13,600 –> 00:02:16,400
that will be coming out in the next six to 12 months

48[Melvin Lim]
00:02:16,400 –> 00:02:18,120
because they have been successfully bidded

49[Melvin Lim]
00:02:18,120 –> 00:02:19,920
by developers based on government land sales

50[Melvin Lim]
00:02:19,920 –> 00:02:21,320
that are launched this year.

51[Melvin Lim]
00:02:21,320 –> 00:02:24,520
We also want to look at what are some of the behaviours

52[Melvin Lim]
00:02:24,520 –> 00:02:28,320
of pricing when we look at those newly TOP projects,

53[Melvin Lim]
00:02:28,320 –> 00:02:32,320
as well as the resale condo asking prices as well.

54[Melvin Lim]
00:02:32,320 –> 00:02:34,160
So why do we build on these four boxes?

55[Melvin Lim]
00:02:34,160 –> 00:02:36,760
And you see this graph at the bottom

56[Melvin Lim]
00:02:36,760 –> 00:02:40,480
is that a lot of the time when we look at this supply graph,

57[Melvin Lim]
00:02:40,480 –> 00:02:41,480
so this graph is from URA.

58[Melvin Lim]
00:02:41,480 –> 00:02:44,880
And when we look at this expected year of completion

59[Melvin Lim]
00:02:44,880 –> 00:02:46,440
in terms of the amount of supply

60[Melvin Lim]
00:02:46,440 –> 00:02:47,960
that’s coming into the market,

61[Melvin Lim]
00:02:47,960 –> 00:02:50,560
these are actually properties that will be completed

62[Melvin Lim]
00:02:50,560 –> 00:02:53,240
from launches, and they include the dark red colour,

63[Melvin Lim]
00:02:53,240 –> 00:02:55,040
which are private residential properties

64[Melvin Lim]
00:02:55,040 –> 00:02:56,360
as well as the light pink colour,

65[Melvin Lim]
00:02:56,360 –> 00:02:58,240
which are executive condominiums.

66[Melvin Lim]
00:02:58,240 –> 00:03:00,560
So take note that when we look at this graph,

67[Melvin Lim]
00:03:00,560 –> 00:03:04,080
this is actually telling us on which particular year

68[Melvin Lim]
00:03:04,080 –> 00:03:06,600
will these properties hit the market

69[Melvin Lim]
00:03:06,600 –> 00:03:08,360
in terms of its TOP status.

70[Melvin Lim]
00:03:08,360 –> 00:03:11,080
So these are already supplies that has been factored

71[Melvin Lim]
00:03:11,080 –> 00:03:11,920
into the market.

72[Melvin Lim]
00:03:11,920 –> 00:03:14,080
It’s just that they are going to complete in a certain year.

73[Melvin Lim]
00:03:14,080 –> 00:03:16,120
So for example, in the year 2021,

74[Melvin Lim]
00:03:16,120 –> 00:03:19,840
there’s gonna be 7,318 of the private residential units

75[Melvin Lim]
00:03:19,840 –> 00:03:21,160
that will be completed.

76[Melvin Lim]
00:03:21,160 –> 00:03:22,560
And then year 2022, 10,171.

77[Melvin Lim]
00:03:23,800 –> 00:03:27,440
2023, it’s going to have a total of 16,549

78[Melvin Lim]
00:03:27,440 –> 00:03:29,200
with a combination of private residential,

79[Melvin Lim]
00:03:29,200 –> 00:03:31,040
as well as executive condominiums.

80[Melvin Lim]
00:03:31,040 –> 00:03:32,480
So these are already projects

81[Melvin Lim]
00:03:32,480 –> 00:03:34,280
that has been launched previously,

82[Melvin Lim]
00:03:34,280 –> 00:03:35,720
and they’re going to be completed.

83[Melvin Lim]
00:03:35,720 –> 00:03:37,400
Of course, what this data doesn’t tell us

84[Melvin Lim]
00:03:37,400 –> 00:03:39,240
is that they didn’t tell us

85[Melvin Lim]
00:03:39,240 –> 00:03:41,560
that how many of these completed properties

86[Melvin Lim]
00:03:41,560 –> 00:03:44,440
have been successfully sold by developers to buyers.

87[Melvin Lim]
00:03:44,440 –> 00:03:47,160
They’re actually talking about how much supply

88[Melvin Lim]
00:03:47,160 –> 00:03:49,120
will hit the resale market per se.

89[Melvin Lim]
00:03:49,120 –> 00:03:51,000
So take note that the interesting thing is that

90[Melvin Lim]
00:03:51,000 –> 00:03:53,920
when we buy a property from the new launch status

91[Melvin Lim]
00:03:53,920 –> 00:03:55,120
during the show flat phase,

92[Melvin Lim]
00:03:55,120 –> 00:03:56,520
the moment it TOPs,

93[Melvin Lim]
00:03:56,520 –> 00:04:00,000
this property then translates into a resale property

94[Melvin Lim]
00:04:00,000 –> 00:04:01,440
in the resale market.

95[Melvin Lim]
00:04:01,440 –> 00:04:03,280
So now that we’ve a set of context,

96[Melvin Lim]
00:04:03,280 –> 00:04:06,040
let’s have a look at the expected year of completion

97[Melvin Lim]
00:04:06,040 –> 00:04:10,200
all the way starting from 2015 to the projection of 2024.

98[Melvin Lim]
00:04:10,200 –> 00:04:13,760
Of course, these charts, they do change with time.

99[Melvin Lim]
00:04:13,760 –> 00:04:16,920
The key reason is because sometimes government land sales,

100[Melvin Lim]
00:04:16,920 –> 00:04:20,080
they have a varying kinds of factors in terms of the amount

101[Melvin Lim]
00:04:20,080 –> 00:04:21,760
of supply that hits the market.

102[Melvin Lim]
00:04:21,760 –> 00:04:23,760
Sometimes the land plot is being activated.

103[Melvin Lim]
00:04:23,760 –> 00:04:26,760
Sometimes developer tender a plot to activate the land sales

104[Melvin Lim]
00:04:26,760 –> 00:04:30,960
and thus, supply does change as on the year-to-year basis.

105[Melvin Lim]
00:04:30,960 –> 00:04:32,600
So this chart, when we look at it next year,

106[Melvin Lim]
00:04:32,600 –> 00:04:34,320
some of the figures might change

107[Melvin Lim]
00:04:34,320 –> 00:04:37,400
because maybe some additional new projects has been launched

108[Melvin Lim]
00:04:37,400 –> 00:04:38,560
in the year 2022.

109[Melvin Lim]
00:04:38,560 –> 00:04:43,240
And thus, that affects the future supply of 2024, 2025, 2026

110[Melvin Lim]
00:04:43,240 –> 00:04:44,560
So take note that we have to look at this

111[Melvin Lim]
00:04:44,560 –> 00:04:46,360
on a year-to-year kind of basis,

112[Melvin Lim]
00:04:46,360 –> 00:04:50,040
but if you notice, there’s this wave that sort of happens

113[Melvin Lim]
00:04:50,040 –> 00:04:52,160
from 2015 on an uptrend

114[Melvin Lim]
00:04:52,160 –> 00:04:55,320
and then it comes down to 2019 being very low

115[Melvin Lim]
00:04:55,320 –> 00:04:57,920
in terms of completion supply.

116[Melvin Lim]
00:04:57,920 –> 00:04:59,880
And then it is going to trend upwards again,

117[Melvin Lim]
00:04:59,880 –> 00:05:03,040
scaling towards 2023 to reach a higher level

118[Melvin Lim]
00:05:03,040 –> 00:05:04,880
of completion supply.

119[Melvin Lim]
00:05:04,880 –> 00:05:07,400
And then very likely it will skew downwards a little bit,

120[Melvin Lim]
00:05:07,400 –> 00:05:09,320
depending on varying factors as well.

121[Melvin Lim]
00:05:09,320 –> 00:05:11,520
So what does this tell us

122[Melvin Lim]
00:05:11,520 –> 00:05:13,720
and how does this help us make a decision

123[Melvin Lim]
00:05:13,720 –> 00:05:16,120
on what kind of properties to go for,

124[Melvin Lim]
00:05:16,120 –> 00:05:18,200
whether is it buying for a primary residence

125[Melvin Lim]
00:05:18,200 –> 00:05:20,400
or whether is it going for investment property,

126[Melvin Lim]
00:05:20,400 –> 00:05:24,040
and what will be the reverse kind of perspective

127[Melvin Lim]
00:05:24,040 –> 00:05:25,480
from different stakeholders.

128[Melvin Lim]
00:05:25,480 –> 00:05:26,360
And different stakeholders,

129[Melvin Lim]
00:05:26,360 –> 00:05:28,840
we are talking about consumers like ourselves.

130[Melvin Lim]
00:05:28,840 –> 00:05:30,560
We’re talking about developers

131[Melvin Lim]
00:05:30,560 –> 00:05:33,920
and we’re talking about the owners that have already bought

132[Melvin Lim]
00:05:33,920 –> 00:05:37,800
into the market previously in some of the new launches.

133[Melvin Lim]
00:05:37,800 –> 00:05:38,960
And let’s have a look.

134[Melvin Lim]
00:05:38,960 –> 00:05:43,760
When we look at this, what has happened in 2020 or 2021?

135[Melvin Lim]
00:05:43,760 –> 00:05:45,960
If you’ve been following our Nuggets On The Go series

136[Melvin Lim]
00:05:45,960 –> 00:05:48,360
is that we have been talking about some key indicators

137[Melvin Lim]
00:05:48,360 –> 00:05:49,640
in the market is that the resale price

138[Melvin Lim]
00:05:49,640 –> 00:05:50,960
has been moving very strongly.

139[Melvin Lim]
00:05:50,960 –> 00:05:52,960
New launch has also been having a lot

140[Melvin Lim]
00:05:52,960 –> 00:05:55,200
of very healthy performance.

141[Melvin Lim]
00:05:55,200 –> 00:05:57,480
Landed property is primetime.

142[Melvin Lim]
00:05:57,480 –> 00:05:59,240
CCR is of course one of the segment

143[Melvin Lim]
00:05:59,240 –> 00:06:01,280
that has not really surpassed it’s peak in 2013,

144[Melvin Lim]
00:06:01,280 –> 00:06:03,240
but it’s gonna surpass it’s peak very soon.

145[Melvin Lim]
00:06:03,240 –> 00:06:05,320
There’s a lot of people putting their attention

146[Melvin Lim]
00:06:05,320 –> 00:06:06,560
on the CCR market,

147[Melvin Lim]
00:06:06,560 –> 00:06:11,600
but what this is telling us is that 2020 to 2021,

148[Melvin Lim]
00:06:11,600 –> 00:06:15,080
it has been the year, basically the past 18 months,

149[Melvin Lim]
00:06:15,080 –> 00:06:17,760
has been the year for resale properties.

150[Melvin Lim]
00:06:17,760 –> 00:06:20,560
Resale properties has seen a lot of transaction volume.

151[Melvin Lim]
00:06:20,560 –> 00:06:22,640
Similarly, it has also been the year

152[Melvin Lim]
00:06:22,640 –> 00:06:24,480
for new launch products.

153[Melvin Lim]
00:06:24,480 –> 00:06:27,720
It has also seen an increase in terms of transaction volume,

154[Melvin Lim]
00:06:27,720 –> 00:06:29,240
or just looking at the amount of transactions

155[Melvin Lim]
00:06:29,240 –> 00:06:31,440
that has happened since January until September.

156[Melvin Lim]
00:06:31,440 –> 00:06:32,840
Based on that level,

157[Melvin Lim]
00:06:32,840 –> 00:06:34,680
moving towards the December phase,

158[Melvin Lim]
00:06:34,680 –> 00:06:36,360
we might be ending the year with close

159[Melvin Lim]
00:06:36,360 –> 00:06:39,360
to about 12,000 transactions compared to last year,

160[Melvin Lim]
00:06:39,360 –> 00:06:41,200
which is about 9,000-odd transactions.

161[Melvin Lim]
00:06:41,200 –> 00:06:44,480
So in terms of year-to-year volume for new launch

162[Melvin Lim]
00:06:44,480 –> 00:06:45,920
and also for resale,

163[Melvin Lim]
00:06:45,920 –> 00:06:47,240
there has been an increase

164[Melvin Lim]
00:06:47,240 –> 00:06:51,040
in the number of transacted properties in both segments.

165[Melvin Lim]
00:06:51,040 –> 00:06:52,280
And of course, bearing in mind,

166[Melvin Lim]
00:06:52,280 –> 00:06:53,800
for the past 10, 15 years,

167[Melvin Lim]
00:06:53,800 –> 00:06:56,400
every month we’re seeing close to about 50%

168[Melvin Lim]
00:06:56,400 –> 00:06:59,160
of transaction in the private residential market,

169[Melvin Lim]
00:06:59,160 –> 00:07:01,200
belonging to the new launch market

170[Melvin Lim]
00:07:01,200 –> 00:07:04,440
and 50% belonging to the resale market.

171[Melvin Lim]
00:07:04,440 –> 00:07:06,480
So these two primary products,

172[Melvin Lim]
00:07:06,480 –> 00:07:08,880
they both have their own audiences,

173[Melvin Lim]
00:07:08,880 –> 00:07:11,000
but the fundamental theory is

174[Melvin Lim]
00:07:11,000 –> 00:07:14,800
that new launch always leads the price movement,

175[Melvin Lim]
00:07:14,800 –> 00:07:17,640
because that has to be a disparity between new launch

176[Melvin Lim]
00:07:17,640 –> 00:07:18,720
and resale.

177[Melvin Lim]
00:07:18,720 –> 00:07:20,840
And this disparity is created

178[Melvin Lim]
00:07:20,840 –> 00:07:24,400
because it is technically like a vicious cycle in a sense,

179[Melvin Lim]
00:07:24,400 –> 00:07:26,880
meaning that, firstly, developer will bid for land.

180[Melvin Lim]
00:07:26,880 –> 00:07:28,880
They will price in their construction costs.

181[Melvin Lim]
00:07:28,880 –> 00:07:30,520
They will price in their margin.

182[Melvin Lim]
00:07:30,520 –> 00:07:32,480
They will price in several other factors.

183[Melvin Lim]
00:07:32,480 –> 00:07:33,320
And of course,

184[Melvin Lim]
00:07:33,320 –> 00:07:35,520
for a developer to be able to be sustainable,

185[Melvin Lim]
00:07:35,520 –> 00:07:38,520
definitely every business has to have a profit margin

186[Melvin Lim]
00:07:38,520 –> 00:07:39,320
in the sense.

187[Melvin Lim]
00:07:39,320 –> 00:07:41,920
So this margin is of course, being translated

188[Melvin Lim]
00:07:41,920 –> 00:07:43,480
into the launch price

189[Melvin Lim]
00:07:43,480 –> 00:07:45,560
and that is being passed on, of course, to consumers.

190[Melvin Lim]
00:07:45,560 –> 00:07:49,560
And that’s a natural process in the entire economy, right?

191[Melvin Lim]
00:07:49,560 –> 00:07:52,840
So when projects are being launched at a certain price,

192[Melvin Lim]
00:07:52,840 –> 00:07:55,720
it sets a new benchmark in a certain region,

193[Melvin Lim]
00:07:55,720 –> 00:07:57,720
a certain district, a certain segment,

194[Melvin Lim]
00:07:57,720 –> 00:08:01,240
thereby causing a ripple effect into the resale pricing

195[Melvin Lim]
00:08:01,240 –> 00:08:02,600
around the new launches.

196[Melvin Lim]
00:08:02,600 –> 00:08:06,000
And thus everytime you will see that resale owners are very excited

197[Melvin Lim]
00:08:06,000 –> 00:08:08,560
when the new launch is popping up in their nearby plots,

198[Melvin Lim]
00:08:08,560 –> 00:08:10,000
and they will be looking at how much

199[Melvin Lim]
00:08:10,000 –> 00:08:11,760
are the developers going to launch it?

200[Melvin Lim]
00:08:11,760 –> 00:08:14,640
What impact does it have on their current resale pricing

201[Melvin Lim]
00:08:14,640 –> 00:08:15,880
in the next few years?

202[Melvin Lim]
00:08:15,880 –> 00:08:18,760
Because the ripple effect happens over the next few years.

203[Melvin Lim]
00:08:18,760 –> 00:08:22,160
When the new launches are being priced at, for example,

204[Melvin Lim]
00:08:22,160 –> 00:08:23,360
let’s say this new launch,

205[Melvin Lim]
00:08:23,360 –> 00:08:25,560
there are two plots that were being sold yesterday

206[Melvin Lim]
00:08:25,560 –> 00:08:27,480
at Slim, what is that?

207[Melvin Lim]
00:08:28,640 –> 00:08:29,800
Slim Barracks.

208[Melvin Lim]
00:08:29,800 –> 00:08:32,880
All right, so the two plots, close to about 10 bids each,

209[Melvin Lim]
00:08:32,880 –> 00:08:35,720
projected potential launch price based on some news articles

210[Melvin Lim]
00:08:35,720 –> 00:08:38,120
is gonna be above $2,100 PSF,

211[Melvin Lim]
00:08:38,120 –> 00:08:41,160
because they were all bidded at about $1200+ PPR.

212[Melvin Lim]
00:08:41,160 –> 00:08:44,040
So let’s say if the developer is gonna launch at $2,100

213[Melvin Lim]
00:08:44,040 –> 00:08:46,840
or maybe $2,200, what’s gonna happen is that

214[Melvin Lim]
00:08:46,840 –> 00:08:49,400
when this project sell out, eventually,

215[Melvin Lim]
00:08:49,400 –> 00:08:52,080
let’s say if I’m the buyer that bought a $2,100-$2,200,

216[Melvin Lim]
00:08:52,080 –> 00:08:54,520
when I wait for three, four years for it to be completed,

217[Melvin Lim]
00:08:54,520 –> 00:08:56,680
I will then want to price it in the market

218[Melvin Lim]
00:08:56,680 –> 00:08:58,880
if I were to sell it when I collect my keys,

219[Melvin Lim]
00:08:58,880 –> 00:09:01,240
maybe at about $2,300, $2,400,

220[Melvin Lim]
00:09:01,240 –> 00:09:03,240
because if I kind of hit that price,

221[Melvin Lim]
00:09:03,240 –> 00:09:05,240
then there’s no reason for me to exit

222[Melvin Lim]
00:09:05,240 –> 00:09:06,440
if I have good holding power.

223[Melvin Lim]
00:09:06,440 –> 00:09:08,800
I would just perhaps rent it out.

224[Melvin Lim]
00:09:08,800 –> 00:09:11,240
I will not sell back at a price that I purchase

225[Melvin Lim]
00:09:11,240 –> 00:09:13,240
if I have very strong holding power,

226[Melvin Lim]
00:09:13,240 –> 00:09:14,960
and that this is an investment property

227[Melvin Lim]
00:09:14,960 –> 00:09:16,840
or maybe I’m just buying for own stay.

228[Melvin Lim]
00:09:16,840 –> 00:09:20,240
So if, let’s say I can successfully hit $2,300,

229[Melvin Lim]
00:09:20,240 –> 00:09:24,200
$2,400 exit price, it then creates a brand new benchmark

230[Melvin Lim]
00:09:24,200 –> 00:09:25,800
on my TOP project.

231[Melvin Lim]
00:09:25,800 –> 00:09:27,280
And that will cause a ripple effect

232[Melvin Lim]
00:09:27,280 –> 00:09:30,120
to some of the surrounding, existing resale projects

233[Melvin Lim]
00:09:30,120 –> 00:09:31,400
surrounding that area.

234[Melvin Lim]
00:09:31,400 –> 00:09:34,080
And it will then create a disparity effect

235[Melvin Lim]
00:09:34,080 –> 00:09:36,400
to create like an upward trend movement

236[Melvin Lim]
00:09:36,400 –> 00:09:37,640
over the next couple of years.

237[Melvin Lim]
00:09:37,640 –> 00:09:39,520
And that’s how the relationship

238[Melvin Lim]
00:09:39,520 –> 00:09:41,960
between new launch, TOP projects

239[Melvin Lim]
00:09:41,960 –> 00:09:44,440
and resale projects come into play.

240[Melvin Lim]
00:09:44,440 –> 00:09:47,040
And this is the exact four boxes

241[Melvin Lim]
00:09:47,040 –> 00:09:48,440
that we are gonna discuss today

242[Melvin Lim]
00:09:48,440 –> 00:09:52,640
because if you look at what has happened in 2017,

243[Melvin Lim]
00:09:52,640 –> 00:09:55,280
so 2017, basically what happened was

244[Melvin Lim]
00:09:55,280 –> 00:09:57,920
that I don’t know whether do you still recall all this news.

245[Melvin Lim]
00:09:57,920 –> 00:10:00,520
This was the 2017 news on Business Time.

246[Melvin Lim]
00:10:00,520 –> 00:10:01,960
It’s actually talking about a property market

247[Melvin Lim]
00:10:01,960 –> 00:10:03,160
on the verge of turning

248[Melvin Lim]
00:10:03,160 –> 00:10:04,400
because what happened was that

249[Melvin Lim]
00:10:04,400 –> 00:10:08,200
that particular two years during this season, 2017,

250[Melvin Lim]
00:10:08,200 –> 00:10:09,440
moving to 2018,

251[Melvin Lim]
00:10:09,440 –> 00:10:11,760
those were the years that en bloc happened.

252[Melvin Lim]
00:10:11,760 –> 00:10:13,920
There were a lot of HUDCs that were en bloc,

253[Melvin Lim]
00:10:13,920 –> 00:10:15,880
for example, Rio Casa, that was being en bloc

254[Melvin Lim]
00:10:15,880 –> 00:10:17,760
into roofer and residences,

255[Melvin Lim]
00:10:17,760 –> 00:10:20,120
and then of course, there was another en bloc that happened

256[Melvin Lim]
00:10:20,120 –> 00:10:22,960
and that translated with Affinity at Serangoon.

257[Melvin Lim]
00:10:22,960 –> 00:10:24,800
Foreign residents came from en bloc as well.

258[Melvin Lim]
00:10:24,800 –> 00:10:27,000
And then the spillover then happened

259[Melvin Lim]
00:10:27,000 –> 00:10:28,880
into a lot of different en blocs

260[Melvin Lim]
00:10:28,880 –> 00:10:32,200
from OCR to RCR, all the way coming into the CCR region.

261[Melvin Lim]
00:10:32,200 –> 00:10:36,160
So 2017, 2018, en bloc happened.

262[Melvin Lim]
00:10:36,160 –> 00:10:38,040
Basically, if I were to bring out this chart,

263[Melvin Lim]
00:10:38,040 –> 00:10:41,160
this was the history, basically starting from 2017.

264[Melvin Lim]
00:10:41,160 –> 00:10:43,160
So let’s have a look at this black box.

265[Melvin Lim]
00:10:43,160 –> 00:10:45,640
So basically when the inventory

266[Melvin Lim]
00:10:45,640 –> 00:10:47,680
in the entire market runs low

267[Melvin Lim]
00:10:47,680 –> 00:10:50,440
on the developers kind of land bank,

268[Melvin Lim]
00:10:50,440 –> 00:10:51,600
basically developers,

269[Melvin Lim]
00:10:51,600 –> 00:10:53,920
they will definitely need to top up the amount

270[Melvin Lim]
00:10:53,920 –> 00:10:55,960
of land bank inventory that they have

271[Melvin Lim]
00:10:55,960 –> 00:10:58,400
and they have to, of course, go through a process

272[Melvin Lim]
00:10:58,400 –> 00:11:00,320
of bidding through government listers

273[Melvin Lim]
00:11:00,320 –> 00:11:02,120
or going for en bloc kind of purchase,

274[Melvin Lim]
00:11:02,120 –> 00:11:03,920
tender process and things like that.

275[Melvin Lim]
00:11:03,920 –> 00:11:06,400
When they have accumulated land,

276[Melvin Lim]
00:11:06,400 –> 00:11:07,720
then basically what they will do is that

277[Melvin Lim]
00:11:07,720 –> 00:11:08,920
over the next two years,

278[Melvin Lim]
00:11:08,920 –> 00:11:10,600
they will then be very focused

279[Melvin Lim]
00:11:10,600 –> 00:11:12,680
while they might continue the top of their land bank,

280[Melvin Lim]
00:11:12,680 –> 00:11:14,960
they will focus, of course, launch their projects,

281[Melvin Lim]
00:11:14,960 –> 00:11:18,280
talk to builders, architects and structure the entire thing,

282[Melvin Lim]
00:11:18,280 –> 00:11:19,320
launch it into the market.

283[Melvin Lim]
00:11:19,320 –> 00:11:22,080
Make sure that the campaign is done correctly.

284[Melvin Lim]
00:11:22,080 –> 00:11:23,440
Pricing is done correctly.

285[Melvin Lim]
00:11:23,440 –> 00:11:24,680
Sell it to the market.

286[Melvin Lim]
00:11:24,680 –> 00:11:27,080
And of course, that then gave rise

287[Melvin Lim]
00:11:27,080 –> 00:11:29,600
to the 2018 to 2020 period,

288[Melvin Lim]
00:11:29,600 –> 00:11:32,480
whereby developers were launching projects aggressively

289[Melvin Lim]
00:11:32,480 –> 00:11:33,280
in the market.

290[Melvin Lim]
00:11:33,280 –> 00:11:35,120
And that was the reason why over that three years,

291[Melvin Lim]
00:11:35,120 –> 00:11:37,640
we saw a lot of new launches pop up in the market.

292[Melvin Lim]
00:11:37,640 –> 00:11:39,520
And I believe a lot of people have, of course,

293[Melvin Lim]
00:11:39,520 –> 00:11:41,480
bought into the projects as well.

294[Melvin Lim]
00:11:41,480 –> 00:11:45,440
And when that happened, 2019 was the interesting year

295[Melvin Lim]
00:11:45,440 –> 00:11:47,640
where new launches hit a new high

296[Melvin Lim]
00:11:47,640 –> 00:11:49,080
in terms of PSF benchmark.

297[Melvin Lim]
00:11:49,080 –> 00:11:50,360
And I’m not sure whether you remember back

298[Melvin Lim]
00:11:50,360 –> 00:11:52,360
in the haydays, 2018 period,

299[Melvin Lim]
00:11:52,360 –> 00:11:54,480
you can still perhaps buy like a 2-bedder

300[Melvin Lim]
00:11:54,480 –> 00:11:56,320
that’s below a million dollars.

301[Melvin Lim]
00:11:56,320 –> 00:11:58,280
Now there’s technically no 2-bedder

302[Melvin Lim]
00:11:58,280 –> 00:11:59,200
that’s below $1 mil dollars.

303[Melvin Lim]
00:11:59,200 –> 00:12:01,160
We are talking about a new benchmark,

304[Melvin Lim]
00:12:01,160 –> 00:12:04,240
entry benchmark of close to about $1.2 mil

305[Melvin Lim]
00:12:04,240 –> 00:12:06,280
for most of the two bedders new launch.

306[Melvin Lim]
00:12:06,280 –> 00:12:08,800
Anything that is below $1 mil definitely is a 1-bedder,

307[Melvin Lim]
00:12:08,800 –> 00:12:10,000
and we’re talking about 1-bedder,

308[Melvin Lim]
00:12:10,000 –> 00:12:12,240
at least over $900K+,

309[Melvin Lim]
00:12:12,240 –> 00:12:14,400
$1 mil dollars for entry-level.

310[Melvin Lim]
00:12:14,400 –> 00:12:16,840
So this is the new benchmark

311[Melvin Lim]
00:12:16,840 –> 00:12:22,840
that has been formed ever since the 2019 to 2021 period

312[Melvin Lim]
00:12:22,840 –> 00:12:26,360
as the balance inventory starts to clear out by itself

313[Melvin Lim]
00:12:26,360 –> 00:12:27,200
through launches.

314[Melvin Lim]
00:12:27,200 –> 00:12:30,680
And then in 2020, disparity occurs with a combination

315[Melvin Lim]
00:12:30,680 –> 00:12:34,280
of factors with COVID being one of the catalysts.

316[Melvin Lim]
00:12:34,280 –> 00:12:37,040
And of course, with a lot of people now focusing

317[Melvin Lim]
00:12:37,040 –> 00:12:39,760
on their homes getting for more bedrooms,

318[Melvin Lim]
00:12:39,760 –> 00:12:41,720
larger sizes, more outdoor space.

319[Melvin Lim]
00:12:41,720 –> 00:12:44,080
Of course, that gives rise to a lot of spillover effect,

320[Melvin Lim]
00:12:44,080 –> 00:12:45,720
pent up demand for landed properties,

321[Melvin Lim]
00:12:45,720 –> 00:12:48,280
strata landed, 4-bedder apartments, penthouses,

322[Melvin Lim]
00:12:48,280 –> 00:12:49,800
ground floors and stuffs like that.

323[Melvin Lim]
00:12:49,800 –> 00:12:53,720
But the disparity also happens between recent

324[Melvin Lim]
00:12:53,720 –> 00:12:55,320
and new launches whereby

325[Melvin Lim]
00:12:55,320 –> 00:12:58,000
a lot of buyers are hunting for very good deals

326[Melvin Lim]
00:12:58,000 –> 00:13:01,840
in the resale market – lower PSF, freehold properties,

327[Melvin Lim]
00:13:01,840 –> 00:13:04,080
or 99-year properties that has that disparity

328[Melvin Lim]
00:13:04,080 –> 00:13:07,960
between the resale PSF versus some of the new launches

329[Melvin Lim]
00:13:07,960 –> 00:13:09,320
in their surrounding estates

330[Melvin Lim]
00:13:09,320 –> 00:13:11,360
That has heated up the entire resale market.

331[Melvin Lim]
00:13:11,360 –> 00:13:15,320
So when you look at 2020 and 2021, where we are right now,

332[Melvin Lim]
00:13:15,320 –> 00:13:17,640
the resale market has technically heated up,

333[Melvin Lim]
00:13:17,640 –> 00:13:20,480
but something has happened right now in the year 2021

334[Melvin Lim]
00:13:20,480 –> 00:13:21,440
towards the tail-end.

335[Melvin Lim]
00:13:21,440 –> 00:13:23,880
We’re noticing that the balance inventory

336[Melvin Lim]
00:13:23,880 –> 00:13:25,400
in some of the new launch projects

337[Melvin Lim]
00:13:25,400 –> 00:13:28,120
that were launched previously in the past one to two years

338[Melvin Lim]
00:13:28,120 –> 00:13:29,600
are starting to clear out very quickly

339[Melvin Lim]
00:13:29,600 –> 00:13:31,760
is because of the fact that a lot of sellers

340[Melvin Lim]
00:13:31,760 –> 00:13:32,680
in the resale market,

341[Melvin Lim]
00:13:32,680 –> 00:13:33,560
I mean, similarly event,

342[Melvin Lim]
00:13:33,560 –> 00:13:34,840
if i’m a seller that wants to sell my property

343[Melvin Lim]
00:13:34,840 –> 00:13:35,680
in the resale market

344[Melvin Lim]
00:13:35,680 –> 00:13:38,160
if I’m holding on to a movable product

345[Melvin Lim]
00:13:38,160 –> 00:13:39,520
and by movable product,

346[Melvin Lim]
00:13:39,520 –> 00:13:41,240
please refer to our previous episodes

347[Melvin Lim]
00:13:41,240 –> 00:13:42,520
because we explained in-depth

348[Melvin Lim]
00:13:42,520 –> 00:13:44,080
that when we’re in the sellers’ market,

349[Melvin Lim]
00:13:44,080 –> 00:13:47,600
not all categories of properties are in the sellers’ market.

350[Melvin Lim]
00:13:47,600 –> 00:13:50,160
There are specific segments that are moving faster

351[Melvin Lim]
00:13:50,160 –> 00:13:51,760
than some other segments.

352[Melvin Lim]
00:13:51,760 –> 00:13:54,080
For example, if you’re holding onto large size apartments,

353[Melvin Lim]
00:13:54,080 –> 00:13:55,880
you would definitely move faster

354[Melvin Lim]
00:13:55,880 –> 00:13:58,000
than holding onto a very small size apartment.

355[Melvin Lim]
00:13:58,000 –> 00:13:59,400
The key reason is because of changing behaviour

356[Melvin Lim]
00:13:59,400 –> 00:14:00,800
after the circuit breaker.

357[Melvin Lim]
00:14:00,800 –> 00:14:02,400
A lot of people are looking for larger size

358[Melvin Lim]
00:14:02,400 –> 00:14:05,080
for their own stay to have more indoor space

359[Melvin Lim]
00:14:05,080 –> 00:14:06,120
for themselves and their kids

360[Melvin Lim]
00:14:06,120 –> 00:14:07,640
and working from home and things like that.

361[Melvin Lim]
00:14:07,640 –> 00:14:10,520
So behavioural changes typically adds on fewer

362[Melvin Lim]
00:14:10,520 –> 00:14:12,640
to some of the specific types of properties

363[Melvin Lim]
00:14:12,640 –> 00:14:14,400
that will move faster in the resale market

364[Melvin Lim]
00:14:14,400 –> 00:14:15,520
compared to other types.

365[Melvin Lim]
00:14:15,520 –> 00:14:17,520
So this is just one example.

366[Melvin Lim]
00:14:17,520 –> 00:14:20,080
So because of that, sellers that are holding on

367[Melvin Lim]
00:14:20,080 –> 00:14:23,080
to movable products, they are pricing their property

368[Melvin Lim]
00:14:23,080 –> 00:14:26,240
at a slightly future asking price.

369[Melvin Lim]
00:14:26,240 –> 00:14:27,880
They’re definitely not pricing their market

370[Melvin Lim]
00:14:27,880 –> 00:14:29,880
at the current transacted price.

371[Melvin Lim]
00:14:29,880 –> 00:14:31,880
Everybody is trying to price their market

372[Melvin Lim]
00:14:31,880 –> 00:14:35,280
at sort of like a future asking price, per se.

373[Melvin Lim]
00:14:35,280 –> 00:14:36,520
And because of that,

374[Melvin Lim]
00:14:36,520 –> 00:14:39,160
I think when buyers hunt for properties in the market,

375[Melvin Lim]
00:14:39,160 –> 00:14:41,000
when they look at these two spectrum,

376[Melvin Lim]
00:14:41,000 –> 00:14:44,000
a higher resale asking price for some of the properties

377[Melvin Lim]
00:14:44,000 –> 00:14:46,240
they’re looking at, then they were thinking,

378[Melvin Lim]
00:14:46,240 –> 00:14:48,760
hey, then should I go for some of the balanced, new launch

379[Melvin Lim]
00:14:48,760 –> 00:14:51,120
that is perhaps gonna TOP very soon

380[Melvin Lim]
00:14:51,120 –> 00:14:52,720
in one year or two years’ time.

381[Melvin Lim]
00:14:52,720 –> 00:14:55,960
And the PSF seems pretty reasonable compared

382[Melvin Lim]
00:14:55,960 –> 00:14:58,760
to some of the brand new, brand new launches

383[Melvin Lim]
00:14:58,760 –> 00:15:01,040
because for new launches, there are two types.

384[Melvin Lim]
00:15:01,040 –> 00:15:05,000
One is we are talking about balance inventory of launches

385[Melvin Lim]
00:15:05,000 –> 00:15:07,560
that has happened in the past one to two years.

386[Melvin Lim]
00:15:07,560 –> 00:15:09,480
Provided of course, the developer didn’t really increase

387[Melvin Lim]
00:15:09,480 –> 00:15:11,560
the price very significantly.

388[Melvin Lim]
00:15:11,560 –> 00:15:14,360
The second type of the brand new, brand new type

389[Melvin Lim]
00:15:14,360 –> 00:15:16,800
and brand new, brand new type basically, definitely,

390[Melvin Lim]
00:15:16,800 –> 00:15:20,080
the new PSF is of a new level, right?

391[Melvin Lim]
00:15:20,080 –> 00:15:21,560
So it’s definitely gonna be a higher PSF

392[Melvin Lim]
00:15:21,560 –> 00:15:23,400
than the balanced ones.

393[Melvin Lim]
00:15:23,400 –> 00:15:25,040
Let me just take a breather

394[Melvin Lim]
00:15:26,400 –> 00:15:27,960
Am I talking like a machine gun ah?

395[Melvin Lim]
00:15:28,880 –> 00:15:30,280
(Melvin chuckling)

396[Melvin Lim]
00:15:30,280 –> 00:15:34,760
By the way, we’re having this halftime commercial break.

397[Melvin Lim]
00:15:34,760 –> 00:15:37,920
So this is our new PLB paper cup, have a look.

398[Melvin Lim]
00:15:37,920 –> 00:15:40,560
Yeah, so anyways, some new cups coming.

399[Melvin Lim]
00:15:41,640 –> 00:15:44,120
It’s of the prime hexagon shape.

400[Melvin Lim]
00:15:44,120 –> 00:15:45,880
Very beautiful cups.

401[Melvin Lim]
00:15:45,880 –> 00:15:47,480
We have three different colours.

402[Melvin Lim]
00:15:47,480 –> 00:15:50,160
One is black, one is white, one is PLB blue.

403[Melvin Lim]
00:15:50,160 –> 00:15:52,040
So stayed tuned.

404[Melvin Lim]
00:15:52,040 –> 00:15:53,960
If you are one of our PLB clients,

405[Melvin Lim]
00:15:53,960 –> 00:15:56,240
you’ll be receiving this during your Christmas.

406[Melvin Lim]
00:15:56,240 –> 00:15:58,320
It’s one of our yearly Christmas gift

407[Melvin Lim]
00:15:58,320 –> 00:15:59,480
for our existing customers,

408[Melvin Lim]
00:15:59,480 –> 00:16:01,520
so we’re sending these cups along to your way,

409[Melvin Lim]
00:16:01,520 –> 00:16:04,600
so for your family to utilise and enjoy them.

410[Melvin Lim]
00:16:04,600 –> 00:16:07,520
It’s our merchandise free of charge for our existing clients

411[Melvin Lim]
00:16:07,520 –> 00:16:08,600
for you.

412[Melvin Lim]
00:16:10,960 –> 00:16:12,360
Okay, let’s head back.

413[Melvin Lim]
00:16:12,360 –> 00:16:14,120
Okay, so yeah, where were we?

414[Melvin Lim]
00:16:14,120 –> 00:16:16,200
So we’re talking about a brand new, brand new type

415[Melvin Lim]
00:16:16,200 –> 00:16:18,440
of PSF pricing is definitely much higher

416[Melvin Lim]
00:16:18,440 –> 00:16:22,120
than those balanced ones, provided whoever hasn’t really

417[Melvin Lim]
00:16:22,120 –> 00:16:24,320
increased their prices significantly.

418[Melvin Lim]
00:16:24,320 –> 00:16:28,000
So this is one part that we think is, right now,

419[Melvin Lim]
00:16:28,000 –> 00:16:31,680
an opportunity if you can hunt for this type of balance,

420[Melvin Lim]
00:16:31,680 –> 00:16:33,880
new launches, provided, of course, they are in a location

421[Melvin Lim]
00:16:33,880 –> 00:16:35,240
that suits your needs.

422[Melvin Lim]
00:16:35,240 –> 00:16:37,240
They’re in the location that suits your investment

423[Melvin Lim]
00:16:37,240 –> 00:16:39,080
kind of angle as well.

424[Melvin Lim]
00:16:39,080 –> 00:16:41,240
Of course, do not buy them hastily,

425[Melvin Lim]
00:16:41,240 –> 00:16:43,080
try to make sure that you go through

426[Melvin Lim]
00:16:43,080 –> 00:16:44,240
an entire checklist to make sure

427[Melvin Lim]
00:16:44,240 –> 00:16:45,800
that this is a sound investment

428[Melvin Lim]
00:16:45,800 –> 00:16:48,320
for potential, future uptrend gain.

429[Melvin Lim]
00:16:48,320 –> 00:16:50,120
Or maybe even if you cannot exit them

430[Melvin Lim]
00:16:50,120 –> 00:16:51,760
in three, five, eight years time,

431[Melvin Lim]
00:16:51,760 –> 00:16:53,800
you can still rent out, collect rental income

432[Melvin Lim]
00:16:53,800 –> 00:16:54,640
and things like that.

433[Melvin Lim]
00:16:54,640 –> 00:16:56,280
Okay, so some examples.

434[Melvin Lim]
00:16:56,280 –> 00:16:57,840
Of course, if you look at this chart,

435[Melvin Lim]
00:16:57,840 –> 00:17:00,960
we did some comparisons with existing launches

436[Melvin Lim]
00:17:00,960 –> 00:17:03,200
as well as some products that has just hit the market

437[Melvin Lim]
00:17:03,200 –> 00:17:06,040
in terms of new, TOP asking prices.

438[Melvin Lim]
00:17:06,040 –> 00:17:08,320
So the second part of this nuggets

439[Melvin Lim]
00:17:08,320 –> 00:17:09,560
that we’re gonna talk about is that

440[Melvin Lim]
00:17:09,560 –> 00:17:13,000
this then give us a very interesting perspective as well

441[Melvin Lim]
00:17:13,000 –> 00:17:16,040
because of the fact that this has increased in prices,

442[Melvin Lim]
00:17:16,040 –> 00:17:18,600
in asking price in the last 18 months,

443[Melvin Lim]
00:17:18,600 –> 00:17:21,640
some of these balance new launch per square foot prices

444[Melvin Lim]
00:17:21,640 –> 00:17:23,160
seems pretty interesting,

445[Melvin Lim]
00:17:23,160 –> 00:17:24,520
pretty attractive as well,

446[Melvin Lim]
00:17:24,520 –> 00:17:27,080
provided that it has not increased in price yet

447[Melvin Lim]
00:17:27,080 –> 00:17:29,520
because what is gonna happen in the next two years,

448[Melvin Lim]
00:17:29,520 –> 00:17:34,360
2022, 2023, developers are going to top up their land bank.

449[Melvin Lim]
00:17:34,360 –> 00:17:36,960
They are going to bid for land again

450[Melvin Lim]
00:17:36,960 –> 00:17:39,240
from GLS, from en bloc.

451[Melvin Lim]
00:17:39,240 –> 00:17:40,160
Maybe that will happen.

452[Melvin Lim]
00:17:40,160 –> 00:17:42,400
We’re not saying that that will definitely happen,

453[Melvin Lim]
00:17:42,400 –> 00:17:47,400
but as their project starts to complete in 2021, 2022 and 2023

454[Melvin Lim]
00:17:49,560 –> 00:17:52,160
because they are gonna hand over their projects

455[Melvin Lim]
00:17:52,160 –> 00:17:54,320
to the buyers that have bought them.

456[Melvin Lim]
00:17:54,320 –> 00:17:56,280
The TOP is going to be completed.

457[Melvin Lim]
00:17:56,280 –> 00:17:58,320
What that means is that developers

458[Melvin Lim]
00:17:58,320 –> 00:18:01,520
are then going to launch new projects.

459[Melvin Lim]
00:18:01,520 –> 00:18:03,640
And in order to launch new projects,

460[Melvin Lim]
00:18:03,640 –> 00:18:06,360
the next year is going to be a year

461[Melvin Lim]
00:18:06,360 –> 00:18:09,360
that they will very likely top up the land bank.

462[Melvin Lim]
00:18:09,360 –> 00:18:11,160
And thus from this graph,

463[Melvin Lim]
00:18:11,160 –> 00:18:14,440
you can see the activity from a developer’s point of view

464[Melvin Lim]
00:18:14,440 –> 00:18:17,600
because they are gonna hand over their completed products.

465[Melvin Lim]
00:18:17,600 –> 00:18:20,240
They then need to top up the land bank

466[Melvin Lim]
00:18:20,240 –> 00:18:22,640
in order to launch new products.

467[Melvin Lim]
00:18:22,640 –> 00:18:24,720
So based on our opinion,

468[Melvin Lim]
00:18:24,720 –> 00:18:26,720
we think that 2022 will be the year

469[Melvin Lim]
00:18:26,720 –> 00:18:29,360
that there’s gonna be a lot of aggressive land bids.

470[Melvin Lim]
00:18:29,360 –> 00:18:30,520
What that might happen is

471[Melvin Lim]
00:18:30,520 –> 00:18:32,680
that it will then create a new benchmark,

472[Melvin Lim]
00:18:32,680 –> 00:18:33,840
new launch price.

473[Melvin Lim]
00:18:33,840 –> 00:18:37,080
With that being set in terms of benchmark pricing,

474[Melvin Lim]
00:18:37,080 –> 00:18:39,080
we’re also going to see this category.

475[Melvin Lim]
00:18:39,080 –> 00:18:42,720
Newly TOP, PSF will then set new benchmark prices as well

476[Melvin Lim]
00:18:42,720 –> 00:18:44,360
because have a look at the amount

477[Melvin Lim]
00:18:44,360 –> 00:18:46,480
TOP projects that are going to hit the market.

478[Melvin Lim]
00:18:46,480 –> 00:18:49,120
It then means that the owners that have bought

479[Melvin Lim]
00:18:49,120 –> 00:18:53,840
in this season, 2019 to 2020, or 2018 to 2020,

480[Melvin Lim]
00:18:53,840 –> 00:18:55,840
they are gonna collect their keys over here.

481[Melvin Lim]
00:18:55,840 –> 00:18:57,240
And if they need to sell,

482[Melvin Lim]
00:18:57,240 –> 00:18:59,400
they will definitely price their properties

483[Melvin Lim]
00:18:59,400 –> 00:19:02,440
at at least $200, $300, $400 PSF,

484[Melvin Lim]
00:19:02,440 –> 00:19:05,280
more than the purchase price that they bought during launch.

485[Melvin Lim]
00:19:05,280 –> 00:19:07,680
And then we’re going to see a new benchmark

486[Melvin Lim]
00:19:07,680 –> 00:19:09,200
in this category also.

487[Melvin Lim]
00:19:09,200 –> 00:19:10,880
So we’re gonna see two new benchmarks.

488[Melvin Lim]
00:19:10,880 –> 00:19:12,320
This and this.

489[Melvin Lim]
00:19:12,320 –> 00:19:16,160
And with this continuous movement in resale asking prices

490[Melvin Lim]
00:19:16,160 –> 00:19:17,760
as well from the resale sellers,

491[Melvin Lim]
00:19:17,760 –> 00:19:21,320
it then means that if I can hunt for something here,

492[Melvin Lim]
00:19:21,320 –> 00:19:24,800
this could be one of the remaining competing products left

493[Melvin Lim]
00:19:24,800 –> 00:19:27,960
in 2021, 2022 that might have decent entry

494[Melvin Lim]
00:19:27,960 –> 00:19:30,000
in terms of PSF and quantum price.

495[Melvin Lim]
00:19:30,000 –> 00:19:32,640
So what this means for you is that in conclusion

496[Melvin Lim]
00:19:32,640 –> 00:19:33,480
from this episode,

497[Melvin Lim]
00:19:33,480 –> 00:19:35,800
I think it will be good if you can continue

498[Melvin Lim]
00:19:35,800 –> 00:19:39,800
to hunt for resale condos that has good attributes.

499[Melvin Lim]
00:19:39,800 –> 00:19:41,120
If you can hunt for freeholds

500[Melvin Lim]
00:19:41,120 –> 00:19:44,080
or you can hunt for 99-year that have very good entry prices

501[Melvin Lim]
00:19:44,080 –> 00:19:45,800
in terms of PSF or quantum price offers.

502[Melvin Lim]
00:19:45,800 –> 00:19:47,680
And of course, after you’ve done your homework

503[Melvin Lim]
00:19:47,680 –> 00:19:49,960
to make sure that, I mean, PLB in short,

504[Melvin Lim]
00:19:49,960 –> 00:19:52,440
we have this MOAT analysis that we have a scoring system,

505[Melvin Lim]
00:19:52,440 –> 00:19:55,480
of course, with close to 30 factors that then allow us

506[Melvin Lim]
00:19:55,480 –> 00:19:58,320
to give a final scoring upon a hundred point system

507[Melvin Lim]
00:19:58,320 –> 00:19:59,960
on whether this project has a higher score

508[Melvin Lim]
00:19:59,960 –> 00:20:02,360
as compared to the other three, four, five projects.

509[Melvin Lim]
00:20:02,360 –> 00:20:05,040
And of course, if you need a consultation service with PLB,

510[Melvin Lim]
00:20:05,040 –> 00:20:06,320
we have a buyer specialist team

511[Melvin Lim]
00:20:06,320 –> 00:20:08,920
that specialises in analyzing MOAT analysis,

512[Melvin Lim]
00:20:08,920 –> 00:20:11,280
pricing mechanism for our buyers and investors.

513[Melvin Lim]
00:20:11,280 –> 00:20:13,880
So we go through that lengthy process with our clients

514[Melvin Lim]
00:20:13,880 –> 00:20:15,760
over two to three different sessions.

515[Melvin Lim]
00:20:15,760 –> 00:20:16,960
Can click on the link down below

516[Melvin Lim]
00:20:16,960 –> 00:20:19,040
if you need to speak to some of our consultants.

517[Melvin Lim]
00:20:19,040 –> 00:20:21,120
But of course, if you’re doing your own homework yourself,

518[Melvin Lim]
00:20:21,120 –> 00:20:23,120
do continue to hunt for resale properties

519[Melvin Lim]
00:20:23,120 –> 00:20:24,240
that has good attributes.

520[Melvin Lim]
00:20:24,240 –> 00:20:26,480
And then there are a lot of hidden gems

521[Melvin Lim]
00:20:26,480 –> 00:20:29,320
in the freehold, 999-year leasehold market.

522[Melvin Lim]
00:20:29,320 –> 00:20:30,680
There are also a lot of hidden gems

523[Melvin Lim]
00:20:30,680 –> 00:20:33,360
in 99-year projects that has very good entry

524[Melvin Lim]
00:20:33,360 –> 00:20:35,000
in terms of PSF, quantum.

525[Melvin Lim]
00:20:35,000 –> 00:20:37,800
And the second category that you can look at

526[Melvin Lim]
00:20:37,800 –> 00:20:39,360
is definitely this segment,

527[Melvin Lim]
00:20:39,360 –> 00:20:40,200
which are the balanced,

528[Melvin Lim]
00:20:40,200 –> 00:20:43,480
new launch PSF pricing entry price market.

529[Melvin Lim]
00:20:43,480 –> 00:20:46,120
And of course, do take note that when we talk about PSF,

530[Melvin Lim]
00:20:46,120 –> 00:20:48,200
we also want to look at the entry quantum price.

531[Melvin Lim]
00:20:48,200 –> 00:20:50,880
So these two segments, very interesting segment to look for

532[Melvin Lim]
00:20:50,880 –> 00:20:54,720
in the last quarter of 2021, moving forward towards 2022.

533[Melvin Lim]
00:20:54,720 –> 00:20:56,600
So we hope that today’s Nuggets On The Go

534[Melvin Lim]
00:20:56,600 –> 00:20:58,080
is beneficial for you.

535[Melvin Lim]
00:20:58,080 –> 00:21:00,480
Of course, we want to look at what we have been talking

536[Melvin Lim]
00:21:00,480 –> 00:21:01,920
about in the more visual format.

537[Melvin Lim]
00:21:01,920 –> 00:21:03,520
Tune into our YouTube channel.

538[Melvin Lim]
00:21:03,520 –> 00:21:05,880
If you are now on the road listening on Apple Podcasts

539[Melvin Lim]
00:21:05,880 –> 00:21:08,120
or Spotify, you can listen on the go,

540[Melvin Lim]
00:21:08,120 –> 00:21:10,640
but I think visual format where we’re showing this charts

541[Melvin Lim]
00:21:10,640 –> 00:21:12,440
to you will be on YouTube channel

542[Melvin Lim]
00:21:12,440 –> 00:21:14,480
and of course IGTV and Facebook as well.

543[Melvin Lim]
00:21:14,480 –> 00:21:16,960
So we hope that today’s episode adds value to you.

544[Melvin Lim]
00:21:16,960 –> 00:21:19,480
Once again, we’re gonna leave all the links down below

545[Melvin Lim]
00:21:19,480 –> 00:21:20,680
on previous episodes.

546[Melvin Lim]
00:21:20,680 –> 00:21:23,120
If you need to gain access to our webinar series

547[Melvin Lim]
00:21:23,120 –> 00:21:25,360
that we have done with some of our partners as well

548[Melvin Lim]
00:21:25,360 –> 00:21:27,920
over the past two months, landed webinar series.

549[Melvin Lim]
00:21:27,920 –> 00:21:32,840
You need access to the 83 page report to what is available

550[Melvin Lim]
00:21:32,840 –> 00:21:35,360
within a 500 meters radius from MRT line.

551[Melvin Lim]
00:21:35,360 –> 00:21:36,440
All these links are down below,

552[Melvin Lim]
00:21:36,440 –> 00:21:37,960
right here for you to sign up.

553[Melvin Lim]
00:21:37,960 –> 00:21:39,120
It’s free of charge for you,

554[Melvin Lim]
00:21:39,120 –> 00:21:40,800
for our listeners and audience.

555[Melvin Lim]
00:21:40,800 –> 00:21:43,080
And meantime, stay safe and take care

556[Melvin Lim]
00:21:43,080 –> 00:21:45,240
as a we’re in October season right now.

557[Melvin Lim]
00:21:45,240 –> 00:21:47,400
And we hope that everything turns out for you well.

558[Melvin Lim]
00:21:47,400 –> 00:21:49,160
And of course, stay prudent as well

559[Melvin Lim]
00:21:49,160 –> 00:21:51,400
before you purchase any property.

560[Melvin Lim]
00:21:51,400 –> 00:21:53,560
And always remember, it’s very easy to purchase,

561[Melvin Lim]
00:21:53,560 –> 00:21:55,680
but make sure that you visualise the exit.

562[Melvin Lim]
00:21:55,680 –> 00:21:57,280
Look for disparity effect.

563[Melvin Lim]
00:21:57,280 –> 00:21:59,640
Look for prime hexagon that we’ve been talking about.

564[Melvin Lim]
00:21:59,640 –> 00:22:01,280
And once again, my name is Melvin Lim.

565[Melvin Lim]
00:22:01,280 –> 00:22:03,760
Happy to have you with us to the end of this episode

566[Melvin Lim]
00:22:03,760 –> 00:22:04,600
and meantime, take care.

567[Melvin Lim]
00:22:04,600 –> 00:22:06,320
We’ll see you on the next one, cheers.

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